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X-WR-CALDESC:Events for What Works
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TZID:Europe/Berlin
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DTSTART:20240331T010000
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DTSTART:20241027T010000
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T093435Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T093435Z
UID:10000088-1718105400-1718110800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Five decades of research on border carbon adjustments – a systematic review of the literature
DESCRIPTION:In a world of nationally determined climate action\, ambitious climate policies in some regions that are not matched by similar efforts in trade partners entail the risk of carbon leakage. Carbon border adjustment mechanisms that impose carbon costs comparable to those of domestic producers are a way to level the playing field and alleviate leakage risks. Such mechanisms have been debated in the academic literature for about 50 years\, but only very recently seen practical implementation in the European Union (EU)\, whose Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) imposes a price comparable to that applied under the EU Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) on emissions embedded in imports of certain carbon-intensive basic materials\, such as iron and steel. Previous papers have surveyed the literature on carbon border adjustments in a variety of disciplines\, including economics\, legal studies and political science\, with the last comprehensive literature review conducted over a decade ago. We aim to extend and update these contributions by conducting a systematic review of the relevant literature. Based on a keyword search\, we will establish a database of articles to be reviewed. These will be coded to track the evolution of topics addressed in such research and the interest of different scientific communities over time. These insights will then be used to single out major issues on which scholars agree or disagree\, and to identify the underlying reasons for overlapping or conflicting views. Finally\, the systematic review will also help identify remaining research gaps in light of the evolving political debate around BCAs.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/five-decades-of-research-on-border-carbon-adjustments-a-systematic-review-of-the-literature/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T093317Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240521T081213Z
UID:10000087-1718105400-1718110800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The carbon pricing paradox
DESCRIPTION:Carbon pricing\, in varied forms\, is an expression of economic theory known for close to 100 years\, and has been proposed in climate policy analysis for 35 years. Yet global progress remains patchy and clearly inadequate\, and in the US – the country in which economists most actively and persistently promoted the carbon pricing agenda – carbon pricing is generally considered “off the table” of any serious political debate. \nTo date\, the IPCC has consistently failed to reach either consistency\, between models and empirics\, or consensus\, between IPCC authors with conflicting world-views on carbon pricing. This talk would outline this background\, arguing a missed opportunity in the Sixth Assessment. \nAgainst this realpolitik empirical background\, this talk would advance a paradox: that carbon pricing can only succeed if its proponents become more modest in what it can realistically deliver; more fundamentally aware of not just distributional but also of political and psychological determinants; and acknowledge the vital contribution of complementary policy instruments. Building upon a recent paper in the Oxford Journal of Economic Policy\, the presentation will advance a broadened economic theory\, as well as political basis\, for regarding other instruments not as “second best”\, but as part of a set of complementary actions necessarily required to foster deep decarbonisation. \nAt the same time\, the presentation will warn against a growing tendency in some academic circles to diminish or disregard the contribution of carbon pricing entirely. Drawing upon empirical observations about the importance of energy prices over long periods\, as well as more fundamental economic principles\, the paper will argue that in the long run it will be impossible to secure deep decarbonisation without strong and robust carbon pricing. \nThe challenge is how to get there\, and intersections of evidence\, theory\, and process we might need to do so.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-carbon-pricing-paradox/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T093152Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T093152Z
UID:10000086-1718105400-1718110800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Greenhouse gas (GHG) pricing and mortality: evidence from a systematic review and meta-regression
DESCRIPTION:According to the World Health Organization (WHO)\, the climate crisis constitutes the “greatest threat to global health in the 21st century”\, the impacts of which are extremely unequally distributed. Economic activity associated with greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions results in air pollution mortality\, among other consequences for ill-health. The air quality experienced by 99% of the global population does not meet WHO recommended standards. Thereby\, air pollution is thought responsible for one in 14 deaths. Health co-benefits of climate mitigation generally and GHG pricing specifically are currently largely ignored in policy assessment and decision-making. \nWe present a systematic review and meta-regression of statistical modelling studies analysing how GHG pricing could change ambient air pollution mortality. We find a reduction of ambient air pollution mortality associated with GHG pricing and examine the variation in findings across contexts using meta-regression. However\, there were various threats to validity in the studies – for example\, they often lacked calibration using observational data – meaning that our confidence in the studies was not always high. More generally\, there is a need for more transparent reporting\, which could be facilitated by accepted reporting standards in the field. Our systematic searches identified a relative lack of studies in upper middle- and lower middle-income countries where air pollution is particularly high. Future studies examining the health effects of GHG pricing in these contexts are needed. As with other urgent public health crisis such as Covid-19\, these need to be assessed based on currently available evidence.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/greenhouse-gas-ghg-pricing-and-mortality-evidence-from-a-systematic-review-and-meta-regression/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T084538Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T084538Z
UID:10000060-1718105400-1718110800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Dichotomy or Continuum? A global review of the interaction between autonomous and planned adaptations
DESCRIPTION:Adaptation to climate change is often conceptualized as either/or\, as a dichotomy\, with adaptation responses being categorized as either planned (formal and structured) or autonomous (organic\, self-organized\, everyday). There is recent anecdotal and theoretical evidence on the existence and importance of the interplay between autonomous and planned adaptation\, however examination of this interaction has been limited to date. We use a global database of 1\,682 peer-reviewed articles on adaptation responses (from the Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative\, GAMI) to systematically examine autonomous and planned adaptations\, both quantitatively and qualitatively\, with an emphasis on how these types of adaptations interact with one another. We propose a third category\, mixed adaptation\, which demonstrates characteristics of both autonomous and planned types\, and which recognizes nuances in how organization\, external support\, formality\, and autonomy manifest in the fuzzy space between the two. We find that more than one-third of articles reporting on adaptation responses fall into this mixed category\, with cases across sectors and world regions. We develop a qualitative typology of mixed adaptation that identifies nine ways that autonomous and planned adaptation interact and influence each other both positively and negatively. Based on these findings\, we argue for more nuanced examinations of the interplay between autonomous and planned adaptation\, and for conceptualizing adaptation planning as a continuum between the two rather than a dichotomy. This has implications for research design\, which often do not explicitly consider the interactions between autonomous and planned\, rather focus on either/or. This additionally brings questions to policy norms in the era of the Global Stocktake\, where most indicator frameworks focus on planned adaptation\, thus missing huge swaths of effective and equitable adaptation\, occurring in the form of mixed and autonomous adaptation.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/dichotomy-or-continuum-a-global-review-of-the-interaction-between-autonomous-and-planned-adaptations/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T084419Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T084419Z
UID:10000059-1718105400-1718110800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Progress and Gaps in National Adaptation Policy
DESCRIPTION:Globally\, national governments are developing policies and plans to increase resilience to climate hazards across all sectors. To date\, most methodologies used for tracking adaptation progress focus exclusively on policies and plans that explicitly mention climate adaptation\, unfortunately\, this practice leads to the exclusion of many policies that increase climate resilience but are not explicitly called adaptation policies\, leading to an incomplete understanding of progress in this area. Using a novel methodology that utilizes a comprehensive definition of adaptation policy that includes a broader range of resilience policies than traditional tracking methods\, we develop national policy inventories for adaptation in India and the United States and illustrate the landscape of adaptation policies in both countries. Through this comprehensive policy inventory and assessment\, we identify key gaps and areas for increased policy attention in both countries. This work provides a critical contribution to our understanding of national-level adaptation policy progress as well as a methodological contribution that can be replicated to better understand adaptation progress in other countries.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/progress-and-gaps-in-national-adaptation-policy/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T084307Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T084307Z
UID:10000058-1718105400-1718110800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Ways forward in global adaptation evidence synthesis: Lessons learnt from GAMI and beyond
DESCRIPTION:Evidence of climate change adaptation has grown exponentially in recent years and decades. However\, this evidence base is highly heterogeneous in its methods\, context-specificity\, and relevance for effective risk reduction. The Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative (GAMI) was the first systematic evidence synthesis project that mapped adaptation literature from across the globe and categorised the evidence regarding adaptation types\, patterns\, and regional and sectoral clusters and gaps. After GAMI has been successfully finished\, fed into IPCC AR6 reports\, and used for various spin-off scientific papers\, it is time to take stock: What did and what did not work well in the GAMI process? By whom\, for which purposes and with which methods was the GAMI data used? What are future directions and recommendations for global adaptation evidence synthesis? This paper builds on a survey and group discussion among the GAMI core and advisory teams as well as lead authors of GAMI spin-off papers to collect experiences\, amongst others\, about the opportunities and limitations of the dataset\, extensions and re-analyses of the dataset in the various spin-off projects\, and recommendations for more effective adaptation evidence synthesis. The results of this analysis provide the basis for a new initiative for mapping and tracking global adaptation efforts and integration with novel machine learning-assisted methods\, which can feed into the Global Stocktake (2029) and 7th IPCC assessment cycle.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/ways-forward-in-global-adaptation-evidence-synthesis-lessons-learnt-from-gami-and-beyond/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T084142Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T084152Z
UID:10000057-1718105400-1718110800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Mapping and synthesizing evidence on global adaptation progress: Achievements of GAMI and lessons for the future
DESCRIPTION:As climate change adaptation is unfolding across the world\, a scientific evaluation of progress in adaptation is ever more important. Adaptation projects are increasingly reported and assessed in the scientific literature\, covering an growing breadth of case studies from across different world regions and sectors such as agriculture\, critical infrastructure or settlements. Learning from the systematic mapping and synthesis of adaptation evidence documented in such scientific studies was the main objective of the Global Adaptation Mapping Initiative (GAMI). Launched as a research community effort during the IPCC’s Sixth Assessment Cycle (AR6) it has by now generated an important global knowledge base for the evaluation of adaptation. Next to global overview publications (synthesizing close to 3000 articles)\, a considerable number of regional or sector-specific in-depth studies as well as thematic and methodological extensions to the original data set have been published by now. With a view towards AR7 it is therefore time to stake stock current achievements and debate requirements for the future.\nThe session aims to collect and discuss lessons learned within GAMI and reflect on the implications for future adaptation mapping and synthesis. Contributions with a methodological\, conceptual\, empirical or modeling focus are all welcome. Presentations might concentrate on different sectors and regions or address the overall global picture. We invite not only contributions from colleagues who have contributed to GAMI but explicitly also from users who have not been involved but see a need to discuss potential shortcomings and improvements. Questions of the session include but are not limited to: Which methodological challenges exist in the GAMI approach and how can they be overcome? How can GAMI results be validated and triangulated with other data sets? How can the coding methodology of GAMI be combined with other methods e.g. in the field of large language models?
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/session-mapping-and-synthesizing-evidence-on-global-adaptation-progress-achievements-of-gami-and-lessons-for-the-future/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T080548Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T080548Z
UID:10000038-1718105400-1718110800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Delayed carbon debt drawdown fails younger generations
DESCRIPTION:Current emissions trends may deplete a 1.5°C consistent carbon budget in approximately 6 years\, resulting in a period of exceedance. To inform the equitable realignment of efforts that minimize exceedance magnitude and duration\, we propose the use of ‘net-zero carbon debt’. Net-zero carbon debt is a measure that combines ‘fair’ shares of a remaining carbon budget with carbon drawdown responsibilities during the period of exceedance. We apply this measure to evaluate a set of regional emissions scenarios ranging from current policies to targets and pledges\, considering the per capita allocation of a remaining 1.5°C carbon budget from the year 1990. Quantifications of regional net-zero carbon debt are used to attribute regional responsibility for exceedance drawdown and proportional responsibility for regional climate impacts if this does not occur. Even under our most optimistic assessment of current global ambition\, younger generations in regions accruing net-zero carbon debts inherit annual average exceedance drawdown responsibilities ranging from 0.7-5.6 GtCO2/year between 2050-2100\, while those born in 2020 in these regions are expected to experience 1.1-1.9 times increase in lifetime extreme heatwave exposure relative to a reference 1.5°C scenario if this drawdown does not occur. This analysis can inform the operationalization of equitable intertemporal and interregional effort sharing mechanisms that persist beyond exhaustion of a remaining carbon budget.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/delayed-carbon-debt-drawdown-fails-younger-generations/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T080323Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T080323Z
UID:10000036-1718105400-1718110800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Justice in and beyond integrated assessment modelling
DESCRIPTION:Justice is emerging as a lens for evaluating the scenarios and pathways generated by integrated assessment models for inclusion in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change reports. We aim at constructing a framework for incorporating justice into IAM tools and scenarios. Drawing upon 39 interviews with a multi-disciplinary range of experts embodying gradients of involvement with IAMs and justice-informed assessment\, we map three prospective avenues – ranging from incremental to fundamental – within which IAM work might better recognize and incorporate justice dimensions. We question the degree to which justice has historically and can prospectively be accounted for in IAM tools and scenarios\, and conclude with recommendations for incorporating justice that would be ‘robust’ or broadly amenable across the perspectives that our solicited experts represent.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/justice-in-and-beyond-integrated-assessment-modelling/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T080200Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T080200Z
UID:10000035-1718105400-1718110800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Closing decent living gaps in sustainable development pathways with strong equity improvements
DESCRIPTION:Environmental action and international development are two closely linked agendas that dominate international policy discussions. It is therefore important to understand how inequalities and basic needs that are central to development are affected or resolved by environmental policies. \nHere\, we will showcase new development on integrating the material prerequisites for human well-being (using the Decent Living Standards framework; DLS) with energy and emissions scenarios (using Integrated Assessment Models; IAMs). This provides a representation of inequalities in IAMs beyond monetary indicators\, at a country-level\, for three sectors. \nOur new model (DESIREv0.1.0) can be used to both (i) steer the construction of scenarios with IAMs through an iterative process by providing energy targets\, and (ii) assess the size of the energy gap over time\, with the related need for redistribution\, increase in energy use\, or efficiency improvements. \nIn this presentation\, we focus on the outcomes of a set of Sustainable Development Pathways (SDPs)\, which pursue the achievement of all Sustainable Development Goals. All scenarios assume radical within-country inequality reductions and meet stringent climate mitigation targets in line with the Paris Agreement. Between-country economic inequality reduces faster than in SSP1 too\, with the speed of convergence varied across scenarios. \nWe project extremely fast reductions in populations living below the energy requirement for DLS. The energy requirements for DLS themselves decrease due to improvements in service provisioning efficiency. Energy gaps also become very small for household energy needs\, and by mid-century all regions have some energy beyond DLS. We also show how the emissions related to delivering energy for DLS are less than the remaining carbon budget under the SDPs\, but much more if no climate policies are implemented. compare the emissions related to providing DLS to the remaining carbon budget.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/closing-decent-living-gaps-in-sustainable-development-pathways-with-strong-equity-improvements/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T113000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T130000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T075907Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T075907Z
UID:10000034-1718105400-1718110800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Breaking Barriers with Patterns: A Participatory Approach for Integrating Justice into Global Mitigation Scenarios
DESCRIPTION:Integrated assessment models (IAMs) commonly used by policymakers in climate decision-making have been criticized for insufficiently incorporating certain justice considerations\, and for being relatively closed to stakeholder inputs and feedback. Based on a comprehensive justice framework\, this work responds to both criticisms and proposes a flexible and pragmatic approach to operationalize distributive justice: justice patterns. Justice patterns are stylized trajectories that represent a specific understanding of distributive justice\, thereby representing either an Aggregate Utilitarian\, Prioritarian\, Egalitarian\, Sufficientarian or Limitarian stand. Those justice patterns can be used to analyze a variety of distributional questions (the distribution of e.g. costs\, benefits\, impacts) as well as intra- and inter-generational justice problem statements.\nSubsequently\, we use justice patterns to derive justice diagnostics for all global mitigation scenarios that were part of the IPCC’s sixth assessment cycle\, and identify the most prominent justice perspectives in current climate scenarios. Furthermore\, we use justice patterns to develop an interactive web-app that systematically inquires justice perceptions of stakeholders.\nWe find that the app is effective in making justice discussions more accessible and tangible. We further find that what is perceived as just varies depending on the distributed object and that Aggregate Utilitarian – represented by growth in all regions – is not a preferred option.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/breaking-barriers-with-patterns-a-participatory-approach-for-integrating-justice-into-global-mitigation-scenarios/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T145321Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T145321Z
UID:10000225-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Do climatic stresses and extremes pose greater risk to poor urban women? A study of slums in Delhi\, India
DESCRIPTION:Climate change is one the greatest developmental challenges confronting cities in countries such as India. Urban poor especially women face the major brunt of changing climatic conditions because of their high dependence on natural resources\, and limited capacity to cope with climate variability thus negatively impacting their livelihoods. The present study aims to capture the differential in vulnerability and risk to climate change faced by the urban poor women living in slums across the five districts of National Capital Territory of Delhi\, the capital city of India. This assessment has been done using both qualitative and quantitative approaches. The quantitative assessment was done by developing a composite index Gender based Climate Risk Index (GCRI). The risk index is based on IPCC AR5 risk assessment framework in combination with Caroline Moser‘s Gender Analysis Framework to capture the gender related components of vulnerability and risk. The GCRI had 4 sub-indices namely Hazards\, Exposure\, Sensitivity and Lack of adaptive capacity. Each of these components have a number of indicators. The qualitative assessment has been done using several Participatory Learning and Action (PLA) tools. GCRI computed at the slum level in the city of Delhi has shown that despite facing same level of hazards\, the slum population faced much higher level of risk to climatic changes due to their greater exposure\, sensitivity (Poor health and Reproductive health) and lack of adaptive capacity (low literacy levels\, ownership and access to resources and poor economic participation). The slum women in Delhi faced 14 percent points greater climate related risk as compared to the women residing in the city of Delhi. It is therefore important to incorporate the gender perspective in the slum upgradation plans as well as enhance the adaptive capacity of women of to enable as well as equip them to face such climatic challenges.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/do-climatic-stresses-and-extremes-pose-greater-risk-to-poor-urban-women-a-study-of-slums-in-delhi-india/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T145213Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240515T095623Z
UID:10000224-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Designing inclusive African coastal cities’ resilience
DESCRIPTION:The “Designing inclusive African coastal cities’ resilience” (INACCT Resilience) project is an action-oriented research project focused on two coastal cities: Durban (South Africa)\, and Beira (Mozambique)\, both having recently experienced extreme climate-related flooding that caused severe damage\, displacement\, and loss of life. Through a transdisciplinary approach\, the project aims to enhance proactive\, inclusive and evidence-informed urban resilience in African coastal cities\, by exploring what measures can and should be in place to prevent and mitigate disasters\, specifically flooding. Based on the two city studies\, the transdisciplinary project team is collaborating with local government and communities to assess how urban coastal resilience can be conceptualised and developed through a co-designed ‘Gender Responsive Resilience Planning Framework’. This framework will serve as a blueprint for fostering proactive\, adaptive and transformative capacities within coastal urban systems across Africa. Particular attention is on understanding resilience through the lens of local communities from a ‘negotiated just’ resilience perspective. Innovative methodologies such as photovoice; a qualitative approach involving collecting photographs taken by participants alongside their own stories and lived experiences. This provides rich insight into the realities of individuals who have been most affected by climate-related disasters in eThekwini and Beira. This participatory approach not only generates valuable data but also fosters relationships and trust researchers and communities. Emerging findings from the research highlight diverse interpretations of resilience and what that means for policy and practice and underscores the resilience and adaptability of informal settlement in the face of climate hazards. Despite being exposed to risks\, these communities demonstrate resilience through innovative collaboration with various stakeholder and creative approaches to disaster planning and response.. The presentation emphasizes the critical role of intermediaries\, knowledge brokering\, and relationship-building in strengthening community resilience to disaster risk. By understanding and incorporating local perspectives\, the project aims to develop tailored resilience strategies
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/designing-inclusive-african-coastal-cities-resilience/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T145035Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T145035Z
UID:10000223-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The role of municipalities in implementing just transitions
DESCRIPTION:The 2020s is arguably the most important decade for climate action in human history. By 2030\, either the world will keep alive the goals of the Paris Agreement\, or put them out of reach. There are unprecedented waves of momentum for change\, as there are limits to change with current approaches\, which requires critical reflection\, course correction and experimenting with new ideas and new ways of working. At the heart of this challenge is implementation. Central to implementation\, is the role of cities\, where now the majority of the world population lives. The progress achieved by the multilateral process under the UNFCCC\, provides a platform from which cities can catalyse action at scale and speed. This includes increased participation in the formulation and implementation of the next round of Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs)\, through for example the Coalition for High Ambition Multilevel Partnerships (CHAMP). Nationally opportunities are also present. In South Africa this includes the Just Transition Framework (JTF)\, Just Energy Transition Partnership (JETP\, announced at COP 26)\, JET Investment Plan\, JET Implementation Plan\, all of which allocate a major role for cities. This research explores the role of cities in visioning and guiding just transitions through the experience of the Steve Tshwete Local Municipality (STLM)\, a municipality in the heart of the coal belt of South Africa and at the forefront of a just transition\, and investigates the role of knowledge and policy processes in developing STLM’s Integrated Development Plan’s (IDP) just transition chapter\, and in developing just transition projects for the municipality and reflects on learnings from this process. The research aims to highlight findings and insights that can be shared with other African cities as they too seek to steer their own just transitions and climate action.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-role-of-municipalities-in-implementing-just-transitions/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T144916Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T144916Z
UID:10000222-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Offsetting and insetting in city net-zero plans
DESCRIPTION:To contribute to Paris Agreement objectives\, non-state actors globally are increasingly developing voluntary emission reduction goals. Cities represent an important group with net-zero or similar plans\, but significant variation exists in how they intend to meet these targets. A lack of research exists on the role of carbon offsetting (carbon dioxide removal or avoided emissions outside the city’s geographic boundaries) and insetting (carbon dioxide removal within the city’s boundaries) in city net-zero plans. However\, better understanding these strategies can help inform future policy on effective climate mitigation by cities. This study uses a mixed-method design to explore how cities use offsetting and insetting. The NetZero Tracker has reviewed 1186 net-zero plans of cities around the world. We use regression analysis to explore what factors (e.g. population size\, GDP\, ambition of climate commitment) are associated with cities’ choice of emission compensation strategies. Focusing then on only cities that include offsetting or insetting in their climate plan\, we conduct a document analysis and code key themes in city plans as they relate to emissions compensation strategies. Preliminary results show that of the 66 cities which plan to use offsetting\, most intend to prioritise emissions reductions but recognize that compensation strategies will be needed to offset remaining emissions. The majority intend to acquire offsets at or around their target year to cancel these emissions\, indicating a risk of only compensating in the last year. Further\, most recognize the need to develop guidelines around the use of offsetting\, but few have yet done so. Our study further explores whether and how the ambition level of city climate commitments is correlated with their use of offsetting or insetting. This research provides new insights into offsetting and insetting by cities\, which we hope will contribute to future policy development of city net-zero strategies.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/offsetting-and-insetting-in-city-net-zero-plans/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T141622Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T141622Z
UID:10000211-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The impact of ambient temperature on Salmonella and Campylobacter infections in the context of climate change: A Systematic review and meta-analysis
DESCRIPTION:Introduction: Various epidemiological studies have investigated the incidence of Salmonella and Campylobacter infections in response to climate variations. In this study\, we have conducted a comprehensive review and analysis of the existing global epidemiological evidence in order to assess the association between temperature exposure and the risk of Salmonella and Campylobacter infections in diverse climatic zones.\nMethods: A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed\, Scopus\, Embase\, and Web of Science from January 1990 to January 09\, 2024. We included peer reviewed original observational studies reporting the association of increasing ambient temperatures with Salmonella and Campylobacter infection. A random effects meta-analysis was performed to pool the relative risks (RRs) per 1 ◦C increase in temperature. Additionally\, we conducted subgroup analyses based on the Koppen Geiger climate zones. Finally\, we evaluated the quality and strength of evidence using the Navigation Guide systematic review methodology framework.\nFindings: The search process yielded 1367 studies\, of which 50 studies met the inclusion criteria for the review. Out of the included studies\, 36 were deemed suitable for meta-analysis; 21 studies (with 40 estimates) on Salmonellosis and 15 studies (with 22 estimates) on Campylobacteriosis. The meta-analysis showed that the risk of enteric infection incidence increased per 1°C rise in temperature by 6.0% (95% CI 5.0–7.0%) for Salmonellosis and by 4.0% (95% CI 3.0–6.0%) for Campylobacteriosis. Subgroup analyses by climate zones suggested greater effects of temperature in humid subtropical climate zone (RR = 1.12\, 95% CI: 1.06–1.18) and warm humid continental climate zone (RR = 1.03\, 95% CI: 1.02–1.04) for Salmonellosis and Campylobacteriosis respectively. The overall strength of evidence was found to be “sufficient” for Salmonellosis but “limited” for Campylobacteriosis. Our results showed that the risk of both enteric infections increased with temperatures\, with varying risks across climate zones.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-impact-of-ambient-temperature-on-salmonella-and-campylobacter-infections-in-the-context-of-climate-change-a-systematic-review-and-meta-analysis/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T141450Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T141450Z
UID:10000210-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Unprecedented warming demands unprecedented action: the 2024 Europe Report of the Lancet Countdown on Health and Climate Change
DESCRIPTION:The Lancet Countdown in Europe (LCDE) aims to provide accessible information on the broadscale health impacts of climate change\, and the health co-benefits of climate action in Europe by developing indicators to track changes over time across the continent. 41 indicators track climate-health relationships over the period 1950-2022 across five themes (1) impact\, exposure\, and vulnerability; (2) adaption\, planning and resilience; (3) mitigation actions and health co-benefits; (4) economics and finance; and (5) politics and governance. Indicators suggest that the negative health impacts of climate change are rapidly increasing compared to baseline levels\, with most impacts worsening since the last reporting period in 2022. Rising temperatures increased heat-related mortality\, reduced labour supply\, and increased periods of risky hours for physical activity beyond the hottest part of the day. Exposure to extreme events such as heatwaves\, wildfire hazards\, and droughts have increased in most European subregions\, also resulting in large health impacts including increased food insecurity. Furthermore\, the climatic suitability for a wide range of climate-sensitive infectious diseases and their vectors (e.g.\, leishmaniasis\, West Nile virus\, dengue\, malaria\, Ixodes ricinus ticks) continues to increase rapidly across Europe. These health threats were experienced differently across European subregions and population groups – with southern Europe tending to be more affected by heat-related illnesses\, wildfires\, drought\, food insecurity\, and leishmaniasis\, whereas northern Europe is equally or more negatively affected by Vibrio and ticks. Yet\, appropriate adaptation and mitigation remain largely neglected. The 2024 LCDE report highlights that climate change impacts on human health are not far-in-the-future theoretical scenarios and that – despite some progress in mitigation and adaptation – current emission reduction efforts are inadequate\, jeopardising environmental and human health in Europe and across the globe.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/unprecedented-warming-demands-unprecedented-action-the-2024-europe-report-of-the-lancet-countdown-on-health-and-climate-change/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T141324Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T141324Z
UID:10000209-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Evidence mapping - Quantitative synthesis/meta-analysis Systematic review of effectiveness of interventions to reduce carbon-emissions within secondary healthcare: issues with conducting reliable primary research and identifying trustworthy findings
DESCRIPTION:Healthcare services contribute 1% -5% towards global environmental impacts. The Climate Change Act (2008) set targets for the 100% reduction of 1990 carbon emission level in England by 2050.3 Work identifying and delivering interventions to reduce carbon emissions within healthcare supply chains and models of care delivery\, is underway.\nTo complement this work\, we aimed to systematically review primary-evidence examining intervention effectiveness in reducing the carbon footprint for medical specialities within secondary healthcare settings. We searched four bibliographic databases covering health care and environmental sciences\, including MEDLINE and Embase\, Environment Complete and Science Citation Index database. We conducted backward/forward citation searching and searched relevant websites\, Google Search\, and checked relevant systematic reviews\, and the Healthcare Life-cycle Assessment (LCA) database. Two reviewers independently undertook title and abstract and full-text screening\, resolving disagreements through discussion. One reviewer data-extracted all studies\, and quality-appraised LCA studies with a tool based upon Weideima’s guidelines\, which was checked by a second. Findings were tabulated and synthesised narratively.\n88 studies (92 articles) met eligibility criteria across five intervention categories: Accessing care (n=39)\, Product level (n=22)\, Multiple (n=10)\, Care Delivery (n=9) and Setting (n=12). Urology (n=14)\, Gastroenterology (n=13) and Oncology/Radiation oncology (n=13) were the most common specialities represented. 25 articles used LCA methods\, with the highest number in urology product-level interventions (n=7). The most common type of intervention was telemedicine (n=26\, including 3 LCAs). Studies conducted using LCA and non-LCA methods contained common methodological flaws\, making it difficult to accurately determine the systemic impact of interventions intended to reduce carbon-emissions. This has important implications regarding a) ensuring those conducting carbon-emission reduction projects within healthcare settings possess the required skills/knowledge on how to do so b) reflecting on how policy makers can best make use of the evidence available and c) ensuring future research addresses the methodological limitations identified.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/evidence-mapping-quantitative-synthesis-meta-analysis-systematic-review-of-effectiveness-of-interventions-to-reduce-carbon-emissions-within-secondary-healthcare-issues-with-conducting-reliable-prim/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T141218Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T141218Z
UID:10000208-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:A Systematic Review to Identify the Effectiveness of Greenhouse Gas Mitigation Interventions for Healthcare Systems in Low- and Middle-Income Countries
DESCRIPTION:Background\nClimate change poses serious risks to human health. At the time of writing\, 81 nations pledged to sustainable healthcare systems\, with the majority from Low- and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs). The healthcare sector accounts for 4.4% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions\, primarily from high-income countries. Without robust GHG mitigation\, future increases are predicted in LMICs. This systematic review aims to identify interventions that reduce GHG emissions in healthcare systems in LMICs and explores synergies between interventions that aid adaptation while mitigating emissions.\nMethods\nA systematic review protocol was published on Wellcome Open Research following the PRISMA-P checklist. Relevant search terms were used to retrieve all primary research published in peer-reviewed journals between 1990 and March 2023. We assessed the risk of bias and quality of evidence. The final synthesis was performed with identified existing evidence around GHG mitigation interventions across all scopes of emissions\, including scope 1 (healthcare operations)\, scope 2 (energy)\, and scope 3 (supply chains).\nFindings\nAfter screening 19\,292 unique records\, we included a total of 22 studies from 11 different countries across the globe. The articles spanned energy\, waste\, heating and cooling\, operations and logistics\, building design\, and anaesthetic gases. All interventions demonstrated potential for GHG reductions\, cost savings\, and positive health impacts. Due to variations in measuring and reporting\, the overall quality of evidence following the GRADE evaluation tool is low.\nInterpretation\nThis systematic review provides the first comprehensive overview of existing evidence in peer-reviewed literature on greenhouse gas mitigation interventions for healthcare systems in LMICs. Gaps were identified across areas of emissions\, such as the supply chain\, as well as a lack of consideration of interactions with adaptation. It is vital that increasing GHG mitigation efforts are robustly monitored\, evaluated\, and reported to contribute to a strong evidence base to inform policymakers across contexts.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/a-systematic-review-to-identify-the-effectiveness-of-greenhouse-gas-mitigation-interventions-for-healthcare-systems-in-low-and-middle-income-countries/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T141101Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T141101Z
UID:10000207-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Double Impact: Reducing low-value care - A win-win for patients and the planet: A rapid scoping review
DESCRIPTION:Background: The health care industry is the fifth-largest contributor worldwide to CO2 emissions. Therefore\, health systems need to curb CO2 emissions to become environmentally sustainable. We conducted a scoping review to identify literature on (1) the environmental impacts of de-implementation of low-value health care (LVC) and (2) the environmental sustainability of alternative solutions for health care (e.g.\, devices\, medications).\nMethods: We searched Ovid MEDLINE® and Scopus (Elsevier) from January 2015 up to 19 June 2023 and consulted experts as additional search strategy. We conducted dual and then single reviewing against a priori defined criteria. One reviewer extracted data\, and a second reviewer checked approximately 10% of the data extractions. We used summary statistics to describe the results narratively.\nResults: We included 187 articles. Among those\, seven studies focussed on de-implementation of LVC (e.g.\, laboratory tests\, diagnostic imaging procedures). The other identified studies examined the following health care practices in relation to their environmental impacts: consultation – travel/telecare (32%)\, surgical and medical devices (26%)\, medication (25%)\, surgical procedures (19%) and diagnostic tests/screening/imaging (13%). Life cycle assessments and other modelling studies were the most applied study designs. Most studies were conducted in Europe (48%)\, followed by the USA (37%)\, Australia (9%) and Canada (4%). 75% of the studies were published after 2020. The reported outcomes fell into the following categories: global warming (89%)\, other negative environmental impact (35%)\, resource consumption (28%)\, and chemical hazards (22%).\nConclusion: We identified a steady rise in publications on this topic since 2020. This is indicative of a large and growing scientific interest in environmental sustainability and may be useful as base for further action. De-implementation of LVC seems to be beneficial in two respects: It protects patients from useless or even harmful interventions and can also reduce CO2 emissions of health care.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/double-impact-reducing-low-value-care-a-win-win-for-patients-and-the-planet-a-rapid-scoping-review/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T140939Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T140939Z
UID:10000206-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The effectiveness of mobile app-based interventions in nudging towards sustainable and healthy diets: a systematic review and meta-analysis
DESCRIPTION:One third of all greenhouse gas emissions come from the way we produce and consume food\, and current diets are insufficient to meet environmental and health goals. Given the ubiquity of smartphone usage\, apps delivering effective\, engaging nudges could be a scalable and promising solution. However\, the complexity of apps makes it difficult for stakeholders to prioritise. This systematic review and meta-analysis assessed the effectiveness of mobile apps for promoting sustainable dietary consumption across five food groups.\nSeven electronic databases (MEDLINE\, EMBASE\, PsycINFO\, CINAHL\, Global Health\, GreenFILE\, Web of Science) and two trial registries (Cochrane Trials and Clinicaltrials.gov) were systematically searched for interventional studies\, characterised according to their use of strategies to facilitate behaviour change.\nFourteen of 5261 identified records were included\, comprising 12 randomised controlled trials and two pre-post trials\, with a total of 7826 participants and sample sizes ranging from 17 to 5062. Five studies recruited the general population\, three recruited students\, and six recruited overweight or obese adults\, three of which targeted lower socioeconomic groups. Interventions lasted from three days to 24 weeks\, with the most common strategy being self-monitoring\, followed by messaging\, goal-setting\, and social support. An increase was observed in daily fruit and vegetable consumption (0.43 servings\, 95% CI 0.18\, 0.68)\, vegetables separately (0.35 servings\, 95% CI 0.07\, 0.63)\, and legumes (0.04 servings\, 95% CI 0.01\, 0.08)\, with smaller increases in fruit (0.03 servings\, 95% CI 0.01\, 0.05) and meat consumption (-0.03 servings\, 95% CI -0.06\, -0.01).\nOur findings indicate that smartphone apps could play a role in accelerating dietary change\, particularly for fruits\, vegetables\, and legumes\, but these changes alone will not make diets more sustainable without meat and dairy reduction. These insights could be used by health practitioners and policymakers when considering apps in their suite of solutions for improving climate and health.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-effectiveness-of-mobile-app-based-interventions-in-nudging-towards-sustainable-and-healthy-diets-a-systematic-review-and-meta-analysis/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T132428Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T132428Z
UID:10000182-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Reducing cost of capital to finance the energy transition in developing countries: a multi-model analysis
DESCRIPTION:Climate stabilisation requires mobilising significant investments in low- and zero-carbon technologies\, especially in emerging and developing economies. However\, access to stable and affordable finance varies dramatically across countries. Models used to evaluate the energy transition do not differentiate regional financing costs and therefore cannot study risk-sharing mechanisms for renewable electricity generation. Here\, we first incorporate empirically estimated cost of capital (CoC) differentiated by country and technology in an ensemble of five global climate-energy-economy models (GCAM\, IMACLIM\, IMAGE\, TIAM\, and WITCH)\, which allows us to identify results robust to structural uncertainty. Subsequently we add a time dimension through financing experience curves\, i.e. a learning-by-doing process for CoC. This realistic costs of capital imply higher financing costs for developing regions compared to others\, so we explore a scenario of reducing these costs: the CoC of electricity generation in developing countries converges to that of the global North by 2050\, i.e. a future world in which international access to energy financing is equal. We explore scenarios under two climate policy scenarios\, in which the world follows Nationally Determined Contributions or is 1.5°C compliant.\nThe effects of the modelled cost of capital convergence policy are multifaceted. The direct outcome is the significant reduction of CoC in the global South. This produces interesting dynamics in the climate-economy and in the equity domains. Within the former\, more renewable electricity is generated in developing countries\, which increases mitigation or reduces its cost\, depending on the climate policy scenario. Moreover\, these changes clearly improve the energy justice of the green transition\, by decreasing inequality along dimensions like energy expenditure and access to modern electricity generation.\nTherefore\, we find significant climate and equity benefits of alleviating financial constraints. The proposed methods can help to model financial constraints more realistically and opens up new avenues for shaping international climate policies.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/reducing-cost-of-capital-to-finance-the-energy-transition-in-developing-countries-a-multi-model-analysis/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T132312Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T132312Z
UID:10000181-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Climate ambition\, background scenario or the model? Attribution of the variance of energy-related indicators in global scenarios
DESCRIPTION:We attribute variations in key energy sector indicators across global climate mitigation scenarios to climate ambition\, assumptions in background socioeconomic scenarios\, differences between models and an unattributed portion that depends on the interaction between these. The scenarios assessed have been generated by Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) as part of a model intercomparison project exploring the Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs) used by the climate science community. Climate ambition plays the most significant role in explaining many energy-related indicators\, particularly those relevant to overall energy supply\, the use of fossil fuels\, final energy carriers and emissions. The role of socioeconomic background scenarios is more prominent for indicators influenced by population and GDP growth\, such as those relating to final energy demand and nuclear energy. Variations across some indicators\, including hydro\, solar and wind generation\, are largely attributable to inter-model differences. Our Shapley–Owen decomposition gives an unexplained residual not due to the average effects of the other factors\, highlighting some indicators (such as the use of carbon capture and storage (CCS) for fossil fuels\, or adopting hydrogen as an energy carrier) with outlier results for particular ambition-scenario-model combinations. This suggests guidance to policymakers on these indicators is the least robust. \nHighlights\n• We attribute variation across global climate mitigation scenarios to three factors. \n• The three factors are climate ambition\, scenario background and model choice. \n• Many indicators are well-explained by the average effects of one or two factors. \n• We also calculate the residual not explained by these average effects. \n• This shows which indicators give outliers for some specific input combinations.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-ambition-background-scenario-or-the-model-attribution-of-the-variance-of-energy-related-indicators-in-global-scenarios/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T132214Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T132214Z
UID:10000180-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Addressing path dependence in emissions-economy models for emerging economies: Implications for identifying low-carbon development pathways
DESCRIPTION:Emissions-economy models are widely used for informing low-carbon development policies and targets. These models typically use historical data sets to quantify interrelationships among key variables\, which are then used to translate inputs into forward-looking projections. While such models have been extensively applied in developed countries\, they are also being increasingly deployed in developing countries. These countries are witness to rapid – often uneven – economic growth\, as they transition from predominantly agrarian and low-quality manufacturing to industrialised or services-dominated economies. Given these upcoming structural shifts\, the interrelationships among variables that have been quantified using historical data are likely to be rapidly outdated. As a result\, the internal formulae by which such models translate assumptions into projections may not be fit for purpose. \nUsing a two-part approach\, this paper argues that this path dependence embedded into model constructs can lead to constrained projections for developing countries\, thereby risking misaligned policies. Primarily\, studying six recent emissions-economy modelling studies conducted for India\, this paper illustrates how development choices – which are baked into model constructs – largely shape projected emissions\, energy demand\, power generation\, investment requirements\, and employment implications\, and thereby inform recommendations for India’s low-carbon transition policies. Within this\, the paper explores the shifting interrelationships among three major structural variables that strongly reflect India’s future development pathway – urbanization\, shares of economic output from different activities\, and total factor productivity – to show that most existing models for India overdetermine its future pathway through their internal design choices. \nThe paper highlights how modelling of low-carbon pathways for developing countries carries these additional complexities\, and suggests rethinking how models developed for the global North are used in more structurally evolving countries such as India\, incorporating greater flexibility\, allowing for more explicit structural variations\, and encouraging greater uncertainty analyses.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/addressing-path-dependence-in-emissions-economy-models-for-emerging-economies-implications-for-identifying-low-carbon-development-pathways/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T132031Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T132031Z
UID:10000179-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Towards Effective Subnational Climate Policy: A Systematic Five-Step Analytical Approach Based on Evidence from German States
DESCRIPTION:While much of the discussion focuses on international and national climate policy\, achieving international climate goals will also require rigorous climate policy action at the subnational level. However\, it is challenging to evaluate and formulate the level and type of subnational action required within this complex and interconnected multi-level context. Synthesising insights from projects in the German states of Saxony and Rhineland-Palatinate\, we propose a five-step analytical approach to derive effective and targeted climate policy measures for the state level. The first step involves scenario modelling and model synthesis to establish an analytical reference point. In this context\, we advocate for the derivation of state and sector-level carbon dioxide (CO2) budgets aligned with Paris Agreement requirements to underscore the necessary climate policy ambition. Secondly\, a scenario comparison is used to discern sectors where government intervention is particularly imperative. The third step identifies goal-oriented strategies that subnational climate policies should target. Fourth\, a barrier and stakeholder analysis pinpoints priority areas for action. Lastly\, recommendations for action are derived from a systematic synthesis of the preceding steps. Taken together\, this approach promises a systematic and evidence-based method for crafting subnational climate policies\, contributing to the overall effectiveness of climate change mitigation efforts.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/towards-effective-subnational-climate-policy-a-systematic-five-step-analytical-approach-based-on-evidence-from-german-states/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T131840Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T131840Z
UID:10000178-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Policy-based emissions projections to support the Paris Agreement
DESCRIPTION:Greenhouse gas emissions projections are important tools to evaluate progress in implementing the mitigation component of the Paris Agreement. They support understanding global emissions trajectories under current efforts and assessing progress towards countries’ climate pledges. However\, developing these projections is resource-intensive\, which results in substantial information gaps for most countries. Lack of information regarding countries’ emissions trajectories hinders international discussions regarding the effectiveness of the Paris Agreement and muddles accountability. We investigate two methods to estimate greenhouse gas emissions projections based on countries’ current effort levels. First\, we assume minimal change from historical climate policy patterns. We analyse historical emission change rates to calculate future emissions within defined confidence intervals. Second\, we anticipate emissions changes based on countries’ recent developments. We map potential determinants\, compile policy-based projections\, and employ machine-learning models to estimate emissions change rates. These simplified projections extend insights for the next Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) updates\, support future global stocktake processes and improve information availability for most countries worldwide. These innovative approaches provide concise\, systematic methods to explore greenhouse gas emissions projections and contribute to a nuanced assessment of global progress in line with the Paris Agreement. In this conference\, we aim to discuss key assumptions underpinning the analysis\, identify additional use cases and present initial findings.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/policy-based-emissions-projections-to-support-the-paris-agreement/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T131728Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T131728Z
UID:10000177-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Maximizing the Contribution of Aviation to 2050 Net-Zero Emission Reduction Pathways through Evidence-Based Policy
DESCRIPTION:The International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) and multiple influential trade groups such as the International Air Transport Association (IATA) have announced goals to make aviation net-zero by 2050. However\, in most net-zero pathways aviation is still considered a hard-to-abate sector that is unlikely to contribute meaningfully to emissions reductions in this timeframe. Designing ambitious policies that can achieve dramatic cuts in aviation emissions requires granular empirical evidence on current innovations\, investments\, commitments\, flight routes\, and other actions across a range of stakeholders. Here\, we build a novel evidence base combining data on aviation start-ups\, corporate commitments\, and demonstration projects and combine it with a sectoral and integrated assessment model to evaluate how policy action scenarios can accelerate emissions abatement in the aviation industry. \nWe use the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM)\, a technology-rich integrated assessment model\, to investigate different technology and policy pathways to decarbonize the aviation sector in the US and EU. We focus on sustainable aviation fuels (SAF) and novel aircraft designs (electric and hydrogen planes) as the primary abatement technologies\, separating policy actions into technology supply and demand-side categories and accounting for different levels of corporate ambition. We use granular data inputs from i3 Cleantech on aviation start-ups and ICAO on technology development and corporate adoption to quantify the scaling potential of abatement technologies. \nOur results show that while complete decarbonization of aviation may be difficult and costly\, the sector can deliver emissions reductions that limit the need for offsetting in net-zero pathways. Full decarbonization of the aviation sector will likely place additional burdens on biofuel production and scaling of clean electricity generation unless coupled with demand reduction policies such as mode shifting. Combining an evidence base with policy scenarios can allow policymakers to design and gauge the role of aviation in net-zero pathways more accurately.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/maximizing-the-contribution-of-aviation-to-2050-net-zero-emission-reduction-pathways-through-evidence-based-policy/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T113340Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T113340Z
UID:10000151-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Public preferences for phasing-out fossil fuels in the German building and transport sectors
DESCRIPTION:In most of Europe\, the decarbonisation of the building and transport sectors lags behind emission targets. Achieving full decarbonisation requires not only the diffusion of net-zero emission technologies but also the phase-out of technologies that emit greenhouse gases (GHG). However\, implementing policy changes in these sectors can have an immediate and significant impact on people’s day-to-day life\, leading to a higher risk of political backlash\, as exemplified by the yellow vest movement in France. In this study\, we investigate public preferences for phase-out policy packages in both sectors in Germany by conducting two conjoint experiments with 1\,777 respondents in March 2022. Respondents collectively evaluated a total of 17\,770 policy packages per sector\, specifically targeting the phase-out of fossil fuel-based heating systems and internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs). We find that respondents favour earlier phase-out dates for both technologies\, but the type of preferred instruments varies: while regulatory instruments like bans are preferred for heating systems\, economic instruments like taxes are preferred for ICEVs. These preferences are even more pronounced in people most concerned about climate change. In addition\, we find that people with higher knowledge about sector emissions tend to demonstrate higher acceptance of policy interventions and that supportive measures significantly enhance the attractiveness of policy packages. Our findings can inform the design of phase-out policy packages\, potentially increasing their acceptability and political feasibility.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/public-preferences-for-phasing-out-fossil-fuels-in-the-german-building-and-transport-sectors/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T113238Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T113238Z
UID:10000150-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Environmental Actions and Support for Policy: Experimental Evidence from the US
DESCRIPTION:While a political divide persists about the urgency to tackle climate change in the US\, growing evidence suggests that individuals’ pro-environmental actions and support for green policies are much less politically divided. We investigate which type of information on climate change\, and through which mechanism\, can promote such actions and policy support. Using an online randomized experiment\, we find that providing prospective rather than retrospective information on local climate change has a significant and positive impact on both individuals’ behavior and policy support across party lines. The efficacy of this information provision depends on three main mechanisms: assigning individuals – rather than governments or corporations – the responsibility of addressing climate change; having young children; and expressing trust in the central government. Overall\, the results suggest that providing prospective information on local climate change and focusing on individual actions and support for green policies can contribute to raise the necessary vast support to address climate change.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/environmental-actions-and-support-for-policy-experimental-evidence-from-the-us/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T093000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240611T110000
DTSTAMP:20260908T233818
CREATED:20240508T113135Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T113135Z
UID:10000149-1718098200-1718103600@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Leveraging Machine Learning to Understand Environmental Tax Opposition in Different Regions and Periods
DESCRIPTION:High environmental taxes face global opposition despite their broad recognition as essential for environmental protection. This study employs the random forest algorithm and the ISSP Environment surveys from 2020 (N=43\,678) and 2010 (N=27\,032) across 28 countries to identify factors associated with opposition to environmental tax increases. Simultaneously analyzing 41 individual-level factors and tax system characteristics\, we find individual values and environmental evaluations generally outweigh demographic factors for predicting tax opposition. The importance of factors varies over regions and time. In high-income countries\, concerns about environmental issues and prioritizing jobs and prices emerge as influential\, gaining prominence over the previous decade. Conversely\, an individual’s lack of commitment to pro-environmental behavior is the most important predictor in emerging economies. Our results highlight the dynamic nature of environmental attitudes. Policymakers and advocates can leverage these insights to tailor and target the communication of environmental tax increases in different contexts\, for instance\, by emphasizing job creation.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/leveraging-machine-learning-to-understand-environmental-tax-opposition-in-different-regions-and-periods/
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