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X-WR-CALDESC:Events for What Works
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TZID:Europe/Berlin
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DTSTART:20240331T010000
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DTSTART:20241027T010000
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T092834Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T092834Z
UID:10000084-1718031600-1718037000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Rigorous evidence on climate policies to inform policy design and implementation
DESCRIPTION:Tobias Kruse (OECD) will present ongoing work on the systematic collection of ex-post empirical evidence on the effectiveness of climate policies as part of the OECD’s flagship Inclusive Forum on Carbon Mitigation Approaches (IFCMA) initiative. The IFCMA is OECD’s flagship initiative designed to help improve the global impact of emissions reduction efforts around the world through better data and information sharing\, evidence-based mutual learning and inclusive multilateral dialogue. As part this programme the OECD is collecting evidence from ex-post empirical studies on the effects of climate policies on emissions across all economic sectors with the aim to help governments design more effective climate policies. \nTobias Kruse is an Economist in the OECD Economics Department’s Public Economics Division. He is an applied microeconomist working on a range of topics\, including empirical climate policy evaluations focussing on environmental and economic outcomes\, systematic evidence synthesis and the public acceptability of climate policies. Prior to joining the OECD\, he obtained an MSc and PhD in Environmental Economics from the London School of Economics and Political Sciences (LSE) and was a Visiting Fellow at the LSE’s Grantham Research Institute. He has published in leading field-journals.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/rigorous-evidence-on-climate-policies-to-inform-policy-design-and-implementation/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T092652Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T092652Z
UID:10000083-1718031600-1718037000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Living\, systematic review ecosystem for understanding what climate policies work
DESCRIPTION:Having the best evidence available on what works under what conditions and why is critical for enhanced climate action and progress towards the Paris Agreement. In this presentation we deal with three fundamental challenges for building a rigorous evidence base for evidence-based climate policy. First\, there is an evidence synthesis gap in climate policy evaluation\, i.e. there is little synthesis of available ex-post policy evaluations using rigorous systematic review methods. Second\, rigorous systematic reviews are usually limited to evaluating climate policies in one outcome dimension\, but policymakers have a more comprehensive outcome demand. For example\, knowing about the effectiveness of carbon pricing is an important piece of information\, but policymakers also need to know about impacts on innovation dynamics\, labor market\, competitiveness and so on. Third\, there is a disconnect in the timing of the provision of evidence\, i.e. the evidence is usually not available when policymakers need it. Here we introduce the concept of living systematic review ecosystems as a paradigm for evidence-based climate policy. We address how this concept could be applied in a community effort to build a rigorous evidence to enhance upcoming science assessments such as the 7th assessment report by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) as well as evidence-based climate policy in general. Finally\, we will outline some of the challenges that might be encountered in moving towards the living evidence model.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/living-systematic-review-ecosystem-for-understanding-what-climate-policies-work/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T092534Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T092534Z
UID:10000082-1718031600-1718037000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The role of policy evaluations in the UK's climate policy making and a proposal for an International Climate Policy Evaluation Group
DESCRIPTION:
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-role-of-policy-evaluations-in-the-uks-climate-policy-making-and-a-proposal-for-an-international-climate-policy-evaluation-group/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T092435Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T092435Z
UID:10000081-1718031600-1718037000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:A welfare theoretical framework to guide policy evaluation
DESCRIPTION:We provide a welfare-theoretic framework for synthesizing the evidence on the impact of policy evaluations and providing ‚fair‘ comparisons between policy instruments. We show how to integrate different outcome variables of interest\, such as costs of a policy\, effectiveness\, co-benefits and distributional effects in reduced-complexity metrics. We illustrate the concept for an ex-ante evaluation of different food tax policies in the EU to assess welfare effects\, multidimensional environmental effects as well as inequality effects. We conclude with implications for future research design and data requirements.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/a-welfare-theoretical-framework-to-guide-policy-evaluation/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T074833Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T074833Z
UID:10000028-1718031600-1718037000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Will tracking climate adaptation progress in Africa be a myth or reality? Juxtaposing Nationally Determined Contributions and the Global Goal on Adaptation Framework
DESCRIPTION:The core of the 2015 Paris Agreement and accomplishment of its long-term objectives lie in the Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs). Adaptation commitment in the NDCs represents efforts by each country to adapt to climate impacts and address challenges posed by climate change. The Paris Agreement further established the Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA) and the GGA framework adopted at COP28 sets global targets for adaptation outcomes in key sectors and processes. As such\, there is growing focus on tracking multi-scale adaptation progress. Here\, we provide a contrasting overview of adaptation assessment in Africa’s NDCs and the GGA regarding aligning adaptation goals and targets\, monitoring and evaluation efforts\, as well as identifying best practices for measuring effective adaptation and monitoring progress made to guide planning\, design\, and implementation of adaptation efforts for reporting at the global level. While the GGA framework highlights targets and guides areas for adaptation action a review of the adaptation aspects of African governments’ NDCs shows a lack of precision in terms of clearly identifying vulnerabilities\, priority sectors\, actions taken to date\, needed support\, cost\, and financial gaps. Such contrasts provide insights into potential challenges in tracking adaptation efforts and outcomes by governments which might jeopardize efforts to report at the global level. Considering emerging global perspectives and increasing emphasis on conducting the Global Stocktake under the Paris Agreement\, possible progress in achieving the GGA\, measuring adaptation effectiveness and metrics\, we suggest ways to systematically monitor and report adaptation actions to ensure both NDCs and GGA are achieving their stated objectives and contributing to effective climate adaptation across climate research\, policy\, and investment.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/will-tracking-climate-adaptation-progress-in-africa-be-a-myth-or-reality-juxtaposing-nationally-determined-contributions-and-the-global-goal-on-adaptation-framework/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T074705Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T074705Z
UID:10000027-1718031600-1718037000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:One size fits all? Unpacking transformational adaptation for policy and practice
DESCRIPTION:Since the IPCC AR6 WGII report\, requests continue to come from countries to explain what transformational adaptation is and how this translates to practice. For example\, the recent text on the Global Goal on Adaptation from COP28 specifically calls for more information on what transformational adaptation entails. Recognizing that existing adaptation practices are insufficient for many existing levels of climate-related hazards\, there is an urgency for transformative practices that more meaningfully meet the existing and projected risks. To address the knowledge gaps\, we bridge the theory and practice of transformational adaptation\, describe a new way of thinking\, and draw on practical examples of what could be transformative for the planning and implementation of adaptation. Many theoretical frameworks and definitions exist for transformational adaptation which generally emphasize the importance of broader societal transformations as critical to alleviating persistent vulnerabilities. Grounding transformational adaptation in practice has proved more challenging with most examples focusing on process indicators\, such as use of participatory approaches and gender equity\, rather than on outcomes. Here\, we argue that part because the need for attention to process and power in transformations is well documented while desirable outcomes are highly contextual. We recommend and develop a practical approach that refocuses on internal and self-determined measures of transformations for projects\, co-defined by the recipients and other relevant stakeholders\, to guide project goals rather than external – “one size fits all” – indicators. \nThis session proposes a panel style discussion in which we first distill the main IPCC AR6 findings on transformational adaptation\, then bring in panelists to discuss examples and lessons learned and challenges of implementation.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/one-size-fits-all-unpacking-transformational-adaptation-for-policy-and-practice/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T074503Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T074503Z
UID:10000026-1718031600-1718037000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Building a Team for Designing and Developing Evidence-Based Decision-Making Platforms for Climate Change Adaptation in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs)
DESCRIPTION:
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/building-a-team-for-designing-and-developing-evidence-based-decision-making-platforms-for-climate-change-adaptation-in-low-and-middle-income-countries-lmics/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T074321Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T074321Z
UID:10000025-1718031600-1718037000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Digital Twin Technology Capability for Climate Change Adaptation
DESCRIPTION:Destination Earth (DestinE) is a flagship initiative of the European Commission to develop a highly-accurate digital model (i.e.\, digital twin) of the Earth to model\, monitor and simulate natural phenomena\, hazards and the related human activities. A key development of DestinE is the digital twin engine for climate adaptation (Climate DT) to operationalise highly accurate climate projections at km scale to support robust decision making for climate change adaptation across sectors and therefore build societal resilience. Another key development of DestinE is the generic adaptation modelling framework designed to empower end-users in harnessing digital twin technology and highly accurate and on-demand climate modelling capability for appraising adaptation options and identifying cost-effective measures that deliver just and equitable climate solutions. The DestinE adaptation modelling framework aims to address the multifaceted aspects of the climate adaptation process from impact assessment to monitoring and evaluation. We will present DestinE’s climate DT and adaptation modelling framework and illustrate ongoing use case applications addressing climate adaptation in cities and coastal areas.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/digital-twin-technology-capability-for-climate-change-adaptation/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T150000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T163000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T074156Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T074156Z
UID:10000024-1718031600-1718037000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Including overshoot risks in long-term evidence-based adaptation planning
DESCRIPTION:As climate change intensifies\, it is essential to take a wide range of climate scenarios and their consequential impacts into account for adaptation planning. Overshoot scenarios\, during which global warming will temporarily exceed the 1.5°C Paris Agreement target before it is brought down again in the following decades\, are increasingly likely under current emissions trajectories. They would result in complex risks such as limits to adaptation and irreversible impacts and stress the need to prepare long-term adaptation solutions under deep uncertainty. \nHere\, we introduce the latest version of the Overshooting Proofing Methodology\, a policy instrument or self-assessment tool designed to guide adaptation planners and policy-makers to integrate overshoot risks into planning processes. We will present novel insights from its initial use with key stakeholders at city and regional levels\, highlighting its applicability in varied contexts along with a range of climate data related challenges. We also reflect on how adaptation pathways can allow to adequately plan a sequence of adaptation measures over time based on information collected through this tool. This work provides insights on key data gaps\, capacity building needs and avenues for future robust adaptation solutions\, policy-making and research.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/including-overshoot-risks-in-long-term-evidence-based-adaptation-planning/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T134212Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T134212Z
UID:10000193-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Interactions Between Emissions Trading Systems and Other Policies: Insights from Theory and an Application to China
DESCRIPTION:Jurisdictions that rely on emissions trading to control emissions often utilize other environmental or energy policies as well\, including policies to support renewable energy and improve energy efficiency. Overlapping policies produce economic interactions that can lead to quite different outcomes from what one might predict after examining the individual policies separately. Prior literature has focused on how overlapping policies might affect outcomes under cap-and-trade (CAT) systems\, where aggregate emissions are fixed by regulation but emissions prices respond. However\, jurisdictions are increasingly turning to alternative forms of emissions markets\, including a range of rate-based emissions trading systems\, in which both emissions quantities and prices are flexible and the significance of policy interactions is less understood.\nThis paper extends the literature by considering the implications of overlaps for a range of ETSs\, including not only CAT but also several forms of tradable performance standards (TPSs). We consider a variety of overlapping policies\, including subsidies to renewables and taxes on electricity. We present analytical results that reveal how outcomes differ\, depending on the type of the ETS and the given overlaps. We then describe and apply a numerical general equilibrium model that offers quantitative results in the context of China.\nOur analytical model finds that an overlapping subsidy to renewable energy—which has no effect on emissions under a CAT system—increases emissions when the ETS is a uniform\, sector-wide TPS\, and decreases emissions when the ETS is a TPS that covers only emissions-intensive sources\, excluding clean ones from participating in credit trading. With CAT\, adding an overlapping renewables subsidy or electricity consumption tax has efficiency costs. Under certain TPSs\, however\, these measures can reduce distortions and enhance cost-effectiveness.\nOur numerical model offers quantitative assessments of the impacts of overlaps on emissions\, production\, prices\, and costs\, under both China’s currently planned TPS and alternative policy.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/interactions-between-emissions-trading-systems-and-other-policies-insights-from-theory-and-an-application-to-china/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T134108Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T134108Z
UID:10000192-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Assessing and Comparing the Effects of Climate Public Policies – A New Approach
DESCRIPTION:Assessing and comparing the effects of climate policy measures is of central academic and practical concern. Existing approaches either focus on individual climate policies or the effect of entire climate “policy regimes.” What is missing is an approach that captures and compares the effects of individual climate policies within the context of larger climate policy portfolios. This gap can lead to inaccurate predictions and a less nuanced understanding of climate policy impacts. To address this gap\, a more integrated analytical framework is needed—one that considers the interplay and cumulative effects of various policy measures within countries’ broader climate strategies. \nThis paper introduces such an approach. Drawing on models developed in the area of genome-wide association studies\, we establish an analytical procedure that (1) encapsulates and delineates the entire spectrum of climate policies and (2) discerns and contrasts the influence of each policy on greenhouse gas emissions vis-à-vis the wider policy framework. This dual-phase process not only dissects singular policy impacts but also places them into a comparative context alongside the cumulative effects of concurrent policy measures. \nThis Bayesian-based procedure – the so-called “Conditional Effects in Climate Change Policies” (CECCP) approach creates a concise overview of a particular policy regime and clusters its components into policies with positive\, negative\, and no associations with emission changes. Our empirical application investigates climate policy effects across 21 OECD countries over a span of more than two decades\, revealing intricate dynamics and efficacy profiles of climate policies. This comprehensive analysis underscores the heterogeneity in policy effectiveness and emphasizes the potential for policy learning and transfer within and across countries. Through CECCP\, policy-makers are equipped with a more refined toolset for assessing the effectiveness of different climate policy options.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/assessing-and-comparing-the-effects-of-climate-public-policies-a-new-approach/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T133930Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T133930Z
UID:10000191-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:How can we evaluate the policy mix effectiveness? – A systematic literature review
DESCRIPTION:Although there is much disagreement about the appropriateness\, usefulness\, and cost-effectiveness of specific policy instruments\, there is a consensus across disciplines that a policy mix\, not only single instruments\, is needed to fully decarbonize the energy system. However\, there is no agreement on assessing the effectiveness and dynamic interaction within a policy mix. As a result\, we conduct a systematic literature review on existing policy mix evaluation to conceptualize the policy mix analyses from different perspectives\, such as environmental economics\, policy and innovation studies\, and social-technical systems\, and understand state-of-the-art ex-ante assessments of the mix as well as current applications/challenges for the empirical analysis. Some common objectives for systematically evaluating the progress of policy mix output are analyzing not only the density (number) of the policies but also their intensity\, technological/sectoral specificity\, and temporal characteristics (different stages of the energy transition). Ultimately\, this review study will broaden the understanding and be a basis for identifying research gaps in empirical studies related to evaluating policy mix effectiveness and dynamic interaction necessary for the energy transition.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/how-can-we-evaluate-the-policy-mix-effectiveness-a-systematic-literature-review/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T133817Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T133817Z
UID:10000190-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Climate policy and governance institutions for reducing CO2 emissions
DESCRIPTION:The corpus of national climate policies continues to grow\, but to what effect? Using a unique dataset of 2\,782 policy instruments in 43 OECD and major emerging economies over the period 2000-2019 we show that concentrating policies on certain instrument.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-policy-and-governance-institutions-for-reducing-co2-emissions/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T133652Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T133652Z
UID:10000189-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Who pays for higher carbon prices in OECD countries? Monitoring households' adjustment burdens
DESCRIPTION:Climate change and climate-change mitigation both have potentially major distributional effects. The distribution of the costs of climate-change mitigation\, in turn\, is among the main drivers of voter support for necessary policy action (Dechezleprêtre\, et al.\, 2022). Carbon pricing aims to narrow the gaps between private and social costs of greenhouse gas emissions and is frequently seen as one of the main policy tools for turning national and international net-zero commitments into reality. It can be controversial however\, including in the context of recent cost-of-living increases. Its implementation remains uneven globally and across the OECD\, and the distributional effects of carbon pricing\, and their drivers\, are currently not widely understood. This paper compares the carbon intensities of households’ consumption baskets in selected countries and assesses how higher carbon prices alter household budgets and consumption patterns. Tracing emissions and the resulting carbon prices through the value chain requires combining and aligning data from disparate sources. The paper utilises information on the carbon intensity of different fuels\, Input-Output information across industries and sectors\, budget surveys to link carbon footprints to specific households\, as well as granular policy information on different types of carbon pricing that countries have actually introduced (OECD\, 2016\, 2023). Results shed light on whether carbon pricing measures are regressive and they compare carbon-price burdens across countries and groups\, including those that can be of particular policy interest\, such as older or rural populations. The objective is two-fold: (1) to inform policy decisions about feasible reform paths\, including suitable strategies for providing compensation to households; and (2) to distil relevant drivers of distributional outcomes\, such as the type of carbon-pricing measure\, patterns of households’ fuel consumption\, the carbon-intensity of different goods and services\, or behavioural reactions to price changes.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/who-pays-for-higher-carbon-prices-in-oecd-countries-monitoring-households-adjustment-burdens/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T114349Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T114349Z
UID:10000157-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Wikimedia Projects as Key Elements of the Global Climate Literacy Landscape
DESCRIPTION:As climate-related matters touch ever more aspects of ever more people’s lives\, it is essential to provide the public with verifiable information that helps to understand climate issues and their ramifications\, including potential solutions and the conditions under which they might or might not work. Wikimedia projects – i.e. Wikipedia and its sister sites like Wikidata and Wikimedia Commons – can and do play an important role in building\, strengthening and sustaining climate literacy: they provide a sizeable share of the global population with general reference information on a very broad range of climate-related topics\, in a place where people and machines are looking for such information\, in languages that they can understand\, on an ongoing basis and in ways that allow essentially any individual or group to participate. \nThis contribution will provide a guided tour around how various climate issues and potential solutions are reflected in the content and in the workflows of various Wikimedia projects. Examples will be drawn from various domains of climate-related research and practice. The discussion will include biases and gaps in coverage as well as the handling of misinformation and other non-constructive contributions. It will also outline opportunities for actors in the climate solution and climate literacy space to embrace the collaborative nature of these platforms and to engage with their contents\, communities or technology stack. Different forms of such engagement will be demoed.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/wikimedia-projects-as-key-elements-of-the-global-climate-literacy-landscape/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T114246Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T114246Z
UID:10000156-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:How the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) Sets Climate Change Agendas and Influences Global Action
DESCRIPTION:As the environmental program of the United Nations\, UNEP aims to play a key role in shaping the global discourse on climate change\, influencing international negotiations\, and directing funding streams to effective climate action initiatives. This presentation will explore UNEP’s strategic approach to climate action\, examining two key elements that enable the organization to set trends and drive positive change: First\, we will show how UNEP seeks to use science to inform policy by focusing on one of its flagship reports\, the Emissions Gap Report. Our presentation will discuss the mechanisms behind the development of these reports\, exploring how UNEP identifies and prioritizes emerging scientific issues\, while also looking at UNEP’s internal capacity to produce these reports. We will also look at the assessment of the reports by external stakeholders\, with a particular focus on their potential to catalyze accelerated climate action. Second\, we will look at how UNEP’s work has been instrumental in placing the concept of ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA)\, a nature-centered approach to climate change adaptation\, on the global climate change agenda and promoting its integration into national and international frameworks. Our presentation will show how UNEP has strategically engaged in partnerships to disseminate the concept of EbA\, promote a global discourse on EbA\, and facilitate its adoption and implementation in different contexts.\nTo gain a deeper understanding of UNEP’s impact and the mechanisms behind it\, this presentation draws on insights from document analysis and interviews with UNEP staff\, other UN stakeholders\, and external partners\, including government and donor representatives. Our analysis provides valuable perspectives on UNEP’s effectiveness in influencing climate change agendas\, key factors contributing to its success\, and areas for improvement. UNEP’s work on climate change exemplifies the power of science\, partnerships and strategic communications to drive global action.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/how-the-united-nations-environment-programme-unep-sets-climate-change-agendas-and-influences-global-action/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T114127Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T114127Z
UID:10000155-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The IPCC at a crossroads: leaving policy relevance behind?
DESCRIPTION:The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has been a crucial facilitator of climate change research and governance. A special collection of npj Climate Action have published a range of research articles\, reviews and perspectives that discuss the achievements of the IPCC\, the challenges it faces when it enters its 7th assessment cycle\, and suggestions for solutions. In this piece we assess all the contributions on the IPCC in the npj Climate Action journal\, see these in relation to resource constraints of the IPCC and the decisions already made that will constrain and facilitate the work of the IPCC in the coming assessment cycle. On this backdrop\, we develop answers to the question: How can IPCC processes and outcomes be reformed to produce knowledge that is more relevant for climate action? In this outro\, we pay specific attention to the four possible reform agendas for the IPCC in the form of ideal types that we presented in the introduction to the special collection: Back to Basics\, Orchestrating\, Broad Knowledge Generation and Reflexive Learning. We show that all of these have their advantages and disadvantages\, but the IPCC cannot achieve everything all ant once.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-ipcc-at-a-crossroads-leaving-policy-relevance-behind/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T114005Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T114005Z
UID:10000154-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Use systematic reviews to inform IPCC uncertainty assessments
DESCRIPTION:Acknowledging that effective communication of uncertainty is a critical element of scientific assessment\, the IPCC has adopted a standardized uncertainty assessment framework to enhance transparency and dependability in its findings. Despite these efforts\, author teams frequently encounter difficulties in the assessment process\, leading to unclear assessment justifications and confusion among readers of the report. \nOur study displays how to use rigorous and transparent evidence synthesis methods\, typically found in systematic reviews and meta-analyses\, to enhance the assessment of uncertainties. Focusing on empirical ex-post evidence\, we show how IPCC authors can use the information provided by gold standard systematic reviews to evaluate all dimensions that are relevant for the assessment of uncertainty – type\, amount\, quantity\, quality\, consistency and agreement – while providing a clear and traceable rationale for their assessment decision. \nTo better guide and structure the assessment\, we advocate for the adoption of assessment summary tables\, inspired by the Grading of Recommendations\, Assessment\, Development\, and Evaluation (GRADE) evidence-to-decision framework. These tables streamline the assessment process and significantly boost transparency. \nOur approach demonstrates a practical and effective method for authors to adhere to the IPCC’s standards for uncertainty assessment\, thereby contributing to more reliable and credible scientific assessments in the field of climate action.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/use-systematic-reviews-to-inform-ipcc-uncertainty-assessments/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T113839Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T113839Z
UID:10000153-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Questioning the use of median values in IPCC AR6 scenarios
DESCRIPTION:In 2022\, the IPCC WGIII finalized the 6th assessment report (AR6) and delivered an open database hosted by IIASA that collects detailed data on possible transition pathways related to the third chapter.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/questioning-the-use-of-median-values-in-ipcc-ar6-scenarios/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T113553Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T113553Z
UID:10000152-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Indicators of Global Climate Change
DESCRIPTION:Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessments are the trusted source of scientific evidence for climate negotiations taking place under the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)\, including the first global stocktake under the Paris Agreement that will conclude at COP28 in December 2023. Evidence-based decision-making needs to be informed by up-to-date and timely information on key indicators of the state of the climate system and of the human influence on the global climate system. However\, successive IPCC reports are published at intervals of 5–10 years\, creating potential for an information gap between report cycles. \nWe follow methods as close as possible to those used in the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) Working Group One (WGI) report. We compile monitoring datasets to produce estimates for key climate indicators related to forcing of the climate system: emissions of greenhouse gases and short-lived climate forcers\, greenhouse gas concentrations\, radiative forcing\, surface temperature changes\, the Earth’s energy imbalance\, warming attributed to human activities\, the remaining carbon budget\, and estimates of global temperature extremes. The purpose of this effort\, grounded in an open data\, open science approach\, is to make annually updated reliable global climate indicators available in the public domain (https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8000192\, Smith et al.\, 2023a). As they are traceable to IPCC report methods\, they can be trusted by all parties involved in UNFCCC negotiations and help convey wider understanding of the latest knowledge of the climate system and its direction of travel. \nOver the 2013–2022 period\, human-induced warming has been increasing at an unprecedented rate of over 0.2 ∘C per decade.Despite this\, there is evidence that increases in greenhouse gas emissions have slowed\, and depending on societal choices\, a continued series of these annual updates over the critical 2020s decade could track a change of direction for human influence on climate.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/indicators-of-global-climate-change/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T100511Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T100511Z
UID:10000104-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Evaluating low-carbon urban planning strategies across urban typologies using causal machine learning
DESCRIPTION:With climate change and rapid urban migration\, cities face the question of where to locate new residents to minimize travel and related CO2 emissions. While the IPCC suggests general planning concepts such as compact or transit-oriented development\, a place-specific understanding of how this translates to the local context is lacking.\nHere\, we introduce a novel approach to assess the induced transport CO2 emissions for different urban planning strategies and determine the city-specific\, optimal locations for low-carbon residential development. We use double machine learning to estimate the non-linear effect of the built environment on travel-related CO2 emissions for each neighborhood while controlling for residential self-selection. Using a selection of global cities with diverse urban typologies\, we demonstrate how optional low-carbon urban planning differs across city typologies. Based on population projections for 2050\, we assess the global mitigation potential compared to a business-as-usual scenario characterized by increasing urban sprawl. Our results underscore the importance of evidence-based\, spatially differentiated compact development to decarbonize the transport sector.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/evaluating-low-carbon-urban-planning-strategies-across-urban-typologies-using-causal-machine-learning/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T100405Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T100405Z
UID:10000103-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Identifying Urban Typologies through remote sensing and clustering
DESCRIPTION:Navigating the diverse definitions of urban and rural areas\, along with the varied urban patterns within cities\, poses a significant challenge when comparing cities globally. Different regions or countries employ distinct combinations of physical and socioeconomic attributes to define a city\, complicating efforts to establish uniform criteria. While organizations like the OECD\, the EU\, or the US Census Office propose urban definitions\, researchers analyzing global urban patterns\, especially in the global south\, often grapple with the need to amalgamate data from multiple sources. This amalgamation introduces a high level of variability in spatial boundaries\, making it challenging to directly apply established criteria from one region to differentiate between predominantly urban and non-urban neighborhoods in another. \nBuilding on our previous experience evaluating and comparing urban areas’ environmental performance\, we present an approach that could help researchers in this field to achieve a more accurate differentiation between urban and non-urban areas using a combination of geospatial analysis and traditional clustering tools applied to two use cases. The first one\, developed as part of the Data-Driven EnviroLab’s Urban Environment and Social Inclusion project\, uses a combination of physical and socioeconomic variables at the neighborhood level and a stepwise hierarchical clustering to identify groups of neighborhoods that are not functionally urban. The second approach uses a similar set of variables but at the city level and k-clustering to identify groups of cities with similar development patterns and context\, in order to analyze their attributes within and across groups. The application of this approach has allowed us to both reduce the variability within each city and create meaningful groups of cities/neighborhoods which can be used for more accurate within and across group comparison\, and has potential to serve as a viable method to segment large urban databases for creating more refined analysis for multiple uses.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/identifying-urban-typologies-through-remote-sensing-and-clustering/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T100140Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T100140Z
UID:10000102-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Urban typologies in climate risk and adaptation studies: Approaches\, applications\, remaining gaps and ways forward
DESCRIPTION:The amount of scientific knowledge and published case studies on climate risks and adaptation action in cities has been rising sharply over the recent years. Typologies\, archetypes or clustering approaches have been used in a range of studies and science-for-policy reports in an attempt to structure the wealth of case study information into larger profiles that facilitate general analysis and policy-advice. However\, no single-best approach has yet emerged that allows to capture the diversity and multi-dimensionality of urban risk profiles and adaptation challenges in a comprehensive\, dynamic and comparative manner. Rather\, different approaches suggested to date all come with their individual capabilities and limits. Their synergies and trade-offs as well as their potential for integration yet has to be examined in more detail.\nThis paper therefore provides a comprehensive review of the ways in which urban typologies have been used in the field of climate risk and adaptation\, covering (a) the academic literature\, (b) the IPCC’s latest assessment cycle and (c) practice and policy documents at the global scale. Based on a structured literature and document analysis it assesses which approaches have been applied in which domains and which strengths and weaknesses have been highlighted. The paper then provides a structured analysis of current overlaps and gaps in order to identify potential entry points for the integration of different existing approaches. In addition\, it suggests potential future amendments of urban typologies based on newly emerging data sources and analysis techniques. Lastly\, the paper sets out an evaluation framework which shall be used in the future to have the proposed integrations and amendments undergo an expert evaluation by prospective recipients and users of urban typology information.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/urban-typologies-in-climate-risk-and-adaptation-studies-approaches-applications-remaining-gaps-and-ways-forward/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T100029Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T100029Z
UID:10000101-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Unpacking capacity for climate action: mechanisms shaping the effect of organisational capacity on policy implementation at the local level
DESCRIPTION:In recent years\, local governments have gained significant importance in the implementation of climate policy. Cities and municipalities offer place-based and context-specific solutions to climate-related and –specific problems. However\, cities also often face an implementation challenge. Previous studies have consistently found a general influence of capacity as a key constraint for local governments. Scholars generally point to the influence of various forms of organisational capacity\, namely human capacity\, financial resources\, community support\, operational expertise\, networks\, political will or local autonomy. Yet\, the empirical record shows mixed results: while organisational capacity does lead to successful climate action\, both false negatives and false positives are also observed.\nIn light of the above\, a closer look into the mechanisms linking organisational capacity and successful urban climate action is due. To that end\, yielding more than 20 cases we explore both successful and unsuccessful climate action in medium-sized European cities\, covering paradigmatic configurations of organisational capacity factors – that is\, different typologies of a “capable” city. Preliminary results reveal mechanisms that manifest themselves across typologies. More interestingly\, though\, we also observe a number of typology-specific mechanisms and their respective implementation challenges. A good understanding of these mechanisms and how they relate to specific typologies of cities will be crucial in developing capacity-building and knowledge transfer schemes in the context of both national and transnational support for urban climate action. Its implications are important for cities so that they invest their scarce resources more efficiently and thereby reach climate neutrality targets faster.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/unpacking-capacity-for-climate-action-mechanisms-shaping-the-effect-of-organisational-capacity-on-policy-implementation-at-the-local-level/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T095848Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T095848Z
UID:10000100-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Scaling urban climate action through archetypes: a city-matching approach
DESCRIPTION:Numerous city governments around the world have positioned themselves as “leaders” in efforts to deal with climate change. Although valuable\, these efforts require scaling in order to achieve the needed impact. Here\, we argue that horizontal scaling\, i.e. the diffusion of ambitious climate action across cities\, will benefit from appropriate city typologies. Typologies can foster the intentional processes of city matching: Identifying and studying pairs or clusters of cities with similar or complementary structural or strategic attributes (like size\, cultural heritage\, national context\, economic structure\, interventions\, political agency). \nHowever\, matching cities requires a methodological approach which takes into account the heterogeneity of cities and their contexts. We propose archetype analysis as a means to help research and match city types that most likely to facilitate horizontal scaling. Generally\, archetype analysis investigates recurrent patterns of a phenomenon of interest by identifying multiple dynamics or patterns\, each explaining the phenomenon under a particular set of conditions. This comparative approach enables us to identify different kinds of cases when general regularities that apply to all cases cannot be expected. It can address research questions like: To advance horizontal scaling\, does city matching work better between cities of the same archetype? Do cities with different but complementary archetypes match better? \nThis paper showcases how such questions can be addressed. Drawing from a literature review and a research workshop synthesis\, it proposes some archetypes that may facilitate matching. For instance\, leader and follower cities might not match so straightforward\, while matching cities with similar social problems might support scaling well. We posit that empirically testing such archetypes will contribute to scaling successful urban climate action.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/scaling-urban-climate-action-through-archetypes-a-city-matching-approach/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T090444Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T090444Z
UID:10000070-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Building Open-Source Empirical Models to Forecast Carbon Emissions
DESCRIPTION:Formulating and implementing climate policy requires a detailed understanding of likely pathways of future carbon emissions. However\, most existing tools to provide forecasts for such emissions exhibit several limitations. Projections are predominantly made for the long-term\, lacking the necessary detail within the typical policy horizon of one to five years. Moreover\, most short-term forecasting models are closed-source ‘black-boxes’ that do not reveal in detail how the obtained forecasts are generated. This paper contributes to closing this gap of a lack of transparent short-term emission forecasts by developing a generalised framework for modelling climate and environmental policies within an empirical macro-econometric modelling approach that is standardised for a large number of countries but allows for immense flexibility. The Aggregate Model is an open-source econometric model builder that primarily aims to provide empirical forecasts of sectoral carbon emissions. The estimated models are based on econometric tools from the robust time series modelling literature such as diagnostic testing\, model selection\, indicator saturation\, and automatic forecast evaluation. We present an illustrative example of how the Aggregate Model as a model-builder tool can be used to forecast different sectoral emissions in Austria. We therefore provide the first short term sectoral emission forecasts for Austria. By putting open-source transparency and replicability at the heart of this project\, we contribute to opening up the existing forecasting space to wider academic discussion\, criticism\, and improvement and hope to provide crucial tools to policy-makers.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/building-open-source-empirical-models-to-forecast-carbon-emissions/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T090324Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T090324Z
UID:10000069-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Climate policies that achieved major emission reductions: Global evidence from two decades
DESCRIPTION:Meeting the Paris Agreement’s climate targets necessitates better knowledge about which climate policies work in reducing emissions at the necessary scale. Here\, we provide the first global\, systematic ex-post evaluation identifying policy combinations that have led to large emission reductions out\nof 1\,500 climate policies implemented between 1998 and 2022 across 41 countries from six continents. Our approach integrates a novel climate policy database that is the most comprehensive\, internationally harmonized\, policy inventory to-date\, with a rigorous\, machine learning-based extension of the common difference-in-differences approach. We identify 63 successful policy interventions with total emission reductions between 0.6 and 1.8 Gt CO2. Our insights on effective but rarely studied policies and previously unknown effective combinations of policies highlight the important role of price-based instruments in well-designed policy mixes\, and the policy efforts necessary for closing the emissions gap in the building\, electricity\, industry\, and transport sectors.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-policies-that-achieved-major-emission-reductions-global-evidence-from-two-decades/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T085937Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240524T070918Z
UID:10000068-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Attributing Increases in Green Patenting to Disruptive Climate Policies
DESCRIPTION:While the role of innovation in the green transition is widely acknowledged\, ex-post evaluations of policy instruments and policy mixes are limited to a few headline policy instruments. In this paper\, we use patent family data from 22 countries for the years 2000 to 2019\, covering 95% of total green patenting activity\, and combine a differences-in-differences model with a machine learning-based variable selection algorithm to detect structural breaks in the patent counts time series. We attribute positive and negative structural breaks to policies from the recently published OECD climate mitigation policy database and find that policy mixes that include pricing instruments are most effective in stimulating energy\, solar and wind patenting. The results are robust to alternative specifications using standard synthetic control methods.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/attributing-increases-in-green-patenting-to-disruptive-innovation-policies/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T085821Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T085821Z
UID:10000067-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Bayesian Structural Break Detection for the Identification of Effective Climate Policies
DESCRIPTION:In this study\, we introduce a Bayesian approach to detect structural breaks in panel data in the context of step-shift indicator saturated models. We focus on identifying the magnitude of the impact of climate policies with uncertain timing. Traditional methods for climate policy evaluation often rely on precise knowledge of when interventions occur\, comparing outcomes between treated and non-treated groups. However\, the exact timing of policy implementation is often ambiguous\, posing challenges to these conventional approaches. \nWe propose an estimation method for the parameters of indicator saturated model such as those proposed by Pretis and Schwarz (2022) (see also Hendry et al.\, 2020; Yao and Zhao\, 2022) employing Bayesian methods. Our methodological framework offers a coherent probabilistic framework for the detection of structural breaks with unknown timing in panel data. The setup naturally facilitates the quantification of uncertainty around the estimated break dates without additional computational costs. Our approach applies a spike-and-slab prior (using a Dirac spike and a non-local-piMOM slab component) which allows for model consistency with a linearly growing number of parameters\, while allowing for Cauchy tails to avoid bias. \nIn simulation studies\, we show that our approach is competitive with existing frequentist approaches when it comes to identifying breaks in time series\, and outperforms them in terms of false positive rates. We apply our method to assess the effectiveness of climate policies in the European transport sector (Koch et al.\, 2022). Our findings largely confirm previous results\, but also uncover additional policy effects that merit further investigation.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/bayesian-structural-break-detection-for-the-identification-of-effective-climate-policies/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T130000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240610T143000
DTSTAMP:20260909T032534
CREATED:20240508T085636Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240515T100233Z
UID:10000066-1718024400-1718029800@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Towards understanding policy design through text-as-data approaches: The policy design annotations (POLIANNA) dataset
DESCRIPTION:Despite the importance of ambitious policy action for addressing climate change\, large and systematic assessments of public policies and their design are lacking as analysing text manually is labour-intensive and costly. In a project funded by the Swiss National Science Foundation and ETH Zurich\, we made a first step in contributing to overcoming this bottleneck: We created POLIANNA\, a training dataset of policy texts from the European Union (EU) that are annotated based on theoretical concepts of policy design\, which can be used to develop supervised machine learning approaches for scaling policy analysis. The dataset consists of 20\,577 annotated spans\, drawn from 18 EU climate change mitigation and renewable energy policies and is published open source to facilitate follow-up projects. Concretely\, we developed a novel coding scheme translating existing taxonomies of policy design elements to a method for annotating text spans that consist of one or several words. An extensive description of the coding scheme\, the annotated corpus\, and an analysis of inter-annotator agreement complements the training dataset. There are various potential applications that can build on POLIANNA. Primarily\, we envision this database to be used for building tools that help with manual coding of policy texts by automatically proposing paragraphs containing relevant information. As fully automated assessment of policy design characteristics a long-term goal rather than an imminent reality\, we understand our effort as being an important first step along this way\, hoping to encourage practitioners and researchers alike to pick up elements of our framework in their upcoming endeavours. \n 
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/towards-understanding-policy-design-through-text-as-data-approaches-the-policy-design-annotations-polianna-dataset/
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR