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X-WR-CALDESC:Events for What Works
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DTSTART:20240331T010000
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DTSTART:20241027T010000
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BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T143000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T160000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T095230Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T095230Z
UID:10000096-1718202600-1718208000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Climate Mitigation & Adaptation: Lessons from UNICEF’s Horn of Africa Drought Emergency Response 
DESCRIPTION:BACKGROUND: The Convention on the Rights of the Child recognizes that global prosperity and wellbeing will ultimately depend on how we fulfil our obligation to protect the world’s children. Today\, more than 3 out of 4 United Nations humanitarian appeals involve extreme weather events\, an increase from just over one third back in 2001. With its new Sustainability & Climate Change Action Plan (2023)\, UNICEF commits itself to working with partners towards protecting the most vulnerable children from the effects of climate change and to more systematically measure the outcomes of its climate-resilient programming. \nRESEARCH OBJECTIVES & METHODOLOGY: The Horn of Africa is one of the driest geographies in the world and the 2022-23 drought has been especially devastating. In 2022\, UNICEF launched a L3/L2 drought emergency response covering 5 countries\, Ethiopia\, Kenya\, Somalia\, Djibouti and Eritrea. In 2023/24\, the UNICEF Evaluation Office conducted a mixed-method review of UNICEF’s work on climate change mitigation and adaptation as part of its mandated evaluation of the response. The research involved the review of 100+ documents\, analysis of results data and financial analysis\, 40 key informant interviews and field visits to 7 project intervention areas. \nCONCLUSIONS: The review found substantial evidence that UNICEF had increased climate resilience and reduced the environmental footprint of its response by (a) transitioning from water trucking to durable\, climate resilient strategic borewells and switching from generators to sustainable solar power\, and (b) comprehensively assessing climate risks and adopting a multi-step methodology to target areas with the greatest needs. The durable solutions approach strengthened community resiliency and contributed to breaking the cycle of displacement. Key innovations include technology solutions around climate-resilient water supply. The financial analysis made a compelling case for funding durable solutions. However\, some water trucking also continued\, and there were data gaps especially around sustainability.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-mitigation-adaptation-lessons-from-unicefs-horn-of-africa-drought-emergency-response/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T143000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T160000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T095104Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T095104Z
UID:10000095-1718202600-1718208000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:UNICEF Interventions to address a Climate Emergency - What Works
DESCRIPTION:Abstract: UNICEF works in over 190 countries and territories to save children’s lives\, to defend their rights\, and to help them fulfil their potential\, from early childhood through adolescence. Increasingly UNICEF is working to address the impact of the climate emergency which threatens all children. UNICEF actively evaluates its programmes in order to identify what works and how to improve the impact of its interventions. \nObjectives and Methods: In partnership with Newcastle University\, 631 UNICEF evaluations were synthesised\, and this included a focus on those programmes addressing climate emergencies. \nResults: The review identified 20 programmes that addressed climate change\, and its impact. In all cases\, the programmes aimed to support adaptations to respond to the consequences of climate change. The range of interventions included seeking to build safe and resilient water\, sanitation and hygiene systems\, for example\, developing infrastructures to protect from drought and flooding. They also included working closely with national and local governments to develop research and build business cases relating to green growth\, and protect vulnerable communities. The review highlighted that children are overlooked in key regional\, national\, climate and energy related strategies\, policies and legislation. UNICEF is actively seeking to provide educational interventions\, so children become central to climate policy.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/unicef-interventions-to-address-a-climate-emergency-what-works/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240524T091001Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240524T091001Z
UID:10000288-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Summative remarks
DESCRIPTION:
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/summative-remarks/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240524T090855Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240524T090855Z
UID:10000287-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Research priorities to understand the biology of climate change and MNCH globally & Next Steps
DESCRIPTION:
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/research-priorities-to-understand-the-biology-of-climate-change-and-mnch-globally-next-steps/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240524T090732Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240524T090732Z
UID:10000286-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Research priorities to address priority gaps in maternal\, child and adolescent health from LMICs
DESCRIPTION:
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/research-priorities-to-address-priority-gaps-in-maternal-child-and-adolescent-health-from-lmics/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T130224Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T130224Z
UID:10000170-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Semiparametric Estimation of European Climate Policy Effects (EU ETS)
DESCRIPTION:The European Union Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) has become the cornerstone of the European Union’s strategy to decarbonize the economy and mitigate climate\nchange. Following these objectives\, the aim of this paper is to assess the impact of the price of carbon\, which is linked to the European market of allowances\, on carbon dioxide emissions. To do so\, we propose an econometric model that extends the\nEnvironmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) model in several directions. First\, the price of carbon\, which is the policy variable\, is introduced in the model in a nonparametric\nfashion; Second\, we propose to use an interactive fixed effects approach to control for latent heterogeneities in both dimensions of panel data; Third\, to allow for spatial dependence\, we introduced spatially correlated errors. The extended EKC model poses various challenges for estimation. To cope with them\, using a profile likelihood approach\,\nwe propose a Feasible Generalized Least Squares estimator of the parameters of interest. Furthermore\, the policy effects curve is also efficiently estimated. The asymptotic properties of the estimators are shown and\, based on these outcomes\, we\nempirically evaluate the policy effects. Our approach yields significantly different and more meaningful results compared to those obtained using standard estimation techniques.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/semiparametric-estimation-of-european-climate-policy-effects-eu-ets/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T130052Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T130052Z
UID:10000169-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The Experimental Approach to Net Zero Policies
DESCRIPTION:The upcoming climate-critical decade will determine whether we progress sufficiently toward a net-zero economy to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees. Climate innovation\, alongside major behavioral change\, is critical for success\, as around 35 percent of the technologies necessary for net zero are not yet developed and/or deployed1. However\, despite having the most ambitious decarbonization agenda\, Europe still needs to create a culture and practice of evidence-based policy- and decision-making\, which is already emerging in the US2\,3. In the light of the billion euros being spent on green deal policies\, we urgently require better evidence on what energy innovation policy instruments are most effective4. To do so\, the continent should apply the scientific method to its net zero science policy\, which the US does with the Evidence-Based Policymaking Act. Specifically\, it should leverage experimental methods such as randomized controlled trials (RCTs) as sources of evidence to inform climate policies5. So far\, they are almost exclusively conducted in the field of development policies; where they received the Nobel prize for alleviating global poverty. Increasingly\, they have been used to make innovation policies more evidence-based6. We argue that their deployment for creating more evidence-based climate and green innovation policies is promising to maximize their effectiveness per Euro spent7. The method is often considered a gold standard of impact evaluation as it enables understanding of the causal effects of policies with a high level of confidence. Ideally\, they could help identify what works well – and what does not – in greening growth policies7. So far\, their potential is underexplored in the field of climate policies8\, especially covering firms9\, but also with regards to behavioral aspects of reducing carbon emissions10. The potential return on investment of such a paradigm shift is estimated to range between 21 and 37 percent11.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-experimental-approach-to-net-zero-policies/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T125832Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T125832Z
UID:10000167-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The Economic Impacts of Carbon Taxes in the Developing World: Evidence from South Africa
DESCRIPTION:The use of carbon taxes to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions is gaining increasing attention\, both in developed and developing economies. However\, policymakers\, particularly those from developing countries\, still lack rigorous empirical evidence on various issues related to the effects of carbon taxes. Despite strong opposition from the industry\, South Africa was the first country on the African continent to introduce a carbon tax in 2019. Using detailed tax administrative data on the universe of South African firms\, we are the first to provide empirical evidence on the economic\, environmental and distributional consequences of the introduction of the carbon tax in 2019. Empirically\, we rely on a matched difference-in-difference approach\, where we compare economic outcomes of carbon tax firms with non-carbon tax firms over time. Preliminary results suggest that on average\, the introduction of the carbon tax did not impose any substantial costs on the economy. However\, we do find some sectoral heterogeneity in the effects.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-economic-impacts-of-carbon-taxes-in-the-developing-world-evidence-from-south-africa/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T125718Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T125718Z
UID:10000166-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:European carbon pricing in boom and bust times
DESCRIPTION:In this study\, we explore the relationship between European carbon prices\, energy prices and the macroeconomy in boom and bust times. Utilizing a smooth transition structural VAR model\, we analyze monthly data spanning from 2006 to 2023. Our model benefits from identification through non-Gaussianity and the correlation with external carbon and energy shock series. Notably\, our analysis reveals heterogeneous effects observed across two distinct regimes of economic activity and when considering the cost pass-through to the transport sector specifically. Furthermore\, our findings support that crises affect carbon prices\, but challenge the notion of a strengthened linkage between carbon prices and economic performance in recent periods. Linking carbon price dynamics to the business cycle allows to discuss the role of a flexible emission cap in enhancing the effectiveness of carbon pricing across various economic conditions. This is particularly relevant for the recent extensions of the EU ETS to sectors like road transportation.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/european-carbon-pricing-in-boom-and-bust-times/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T125319Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T125319Z
UID:10000165-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Does Free Public Transport Reduce Carbon Emissions? Causal Evidence from Luxembourg
DESCRIPTION:In March 2020\, Luxembourg became the first country in the world to offer free public transport across all modes of transport. We leverage this unique quasi-experimental setting to evaluate whether Luxembourg’s free public transport policy has induced a shift\nfrom private motorized transport to free public transport. To assess this shift we measure the reduction in carbon emissions from road transport as an indicator of reduced dependence on private motorized vehicles. We use spatial panel data from the European Emission Database on Global Atmospheric Research and utilize the recently proposed\nSynthetic Difference-in-Differences method that combines the advantages of the canonical Difference-in-Difference and Synthetic Control approaches. The study estimates a 6.5% reduction in road transport emissions as a result of the policy\, indicating a significant\nmodal shift from private vehicles to public transport. We carefully consider Luxembourg’s distinctive characteristics and account for the concurrent COVID-19 pandemic to address potential challenges associated with identification and control measures. In particular\, we control for confounding factors such as the COVID-related restrictions\,\nthe carbon taxation policies\, and changes in working-from-home. Event study analyses and robustness checks indicate the overall reliability of our results.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/does-free-public-transport-reduce-carbon-emissions-causal-evidence-from-luxembourg/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T115354Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T115354Z
UID:10000163-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Climate Change and Poverty Solutions: Mapping the integration of social protection policies and climate in LMICs 
DESCRIPTION:Social protection programs offer an important policy instrument to manage the poverty\, inequality\, and other social impacts of climate change. A large literature anecdotally documents the roles that cash transfers\, public employment\, and other social assistance and labor programs have played in managing both physical and transition risks arising from climate change (Costella et al.\, 2023). However\, despite increasing policy interest\, efforts to systematically track and assess these programs are limited. Understanding the extent to which government-led social protection programs integrate climate considerations\, how they do so\, and whether they have been successful is crucial to inform evidence-based expansion of climate-resilient social protection in low and middle-income countries (LMICs). \nOur research maps the current integration of climate considerations in social protection programs in LMICs. We estimate the number of program and their share of the global portfolio in terms of coverage and funding. We also identify program features and climate resilience outcomes of such programs\, and\, when evaluations exist\, we assess the extent to which programs’ climate-related outcomes match their intended or potential objectives. \nBecause climate features of social protection programs are not tracked in existing repositories\, our research first reviewed almost four hundred academic and grey literature documents to map relevant programs. We identified over a hundred such programs\, and\, for each\, we conducted a detailed\, qualitative analysis of climate-related program features and outcomes based on official program documents. We then quantitatively analyzed the entire dataset including connections across program types\, geographies\, features\, and outcomes. Findings from the full analysis will be available in March 2024 and a dataset of programs will also be made available when the research is finalized. Initial findings highlight the importance of explicit climate considerations in program design for climate-resilient social protection to become a more relevant climate policy instrument in LMICs.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-change-and-poverty-solutions-mapping-the-integration-of-social-protection-policies-and-climate-in-lmics/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T115253Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240514T093900Z
UID:10000162-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The Social\, Economic\, and Political Trade-offs of Climate Change Adaptation in Uganda: Towards building resilient communities
DESCRIPTION:Worldwide and Uganda in particular\, climate change continues pose significant challenges to communities. The changing climate\, characterized by erratic rainfall patterns\, prolonged droughts\, land degradation\, and extreme weather events have adversely affected agriculture\, water resources management\, public health\, and infrastructure development. To address these challenges\, various initiatives have been implemented by state actors\, non-state actors\, and local farmers in Uganda. Drawing on a mixed methods study involving over 1500 respondents\, my presentation will examine the social\, economic\, and political trade-offs of climate change adaptation in Uganda. The findings show that while some individuals possess knowledge of adaptive practices through traditional wisdom or local innovations\, others lack access to information or resources necessary for effective adaptation measures. This creates disparities in adaptive capacities among different groups. Gender dynamics and socioeconomic disparities also play a role in exacerbating social inequalities during the adaptation process. Economically disadvantaged smallholder farmers who rely heavily on rain-fed agriculture struggle to invest in technologies that could enhance their adaptive capacities due to financial constraints. Balancing short-term livelihood needs with long-term investments becomes a complex trade-off that policymakers must address. The political dimension of climate change adaptation explores the governance structures required for effective planning and implementation. Coordinated efforts among multiple stakeholders including government agencies at national and local levels as well as civil society organizations are crucial for successful adaptation. However\, “”policy implementation gaps”” often hinder progress due to limited institutional capacity or conflicting priorities across sectors.\nThe presentation emphasizes the importance of integrated approaches that consider the interlinkages between social equity (including gender dynamics)\, economic realities (such as financial constraints)\, and political frameworks in climate change adaptation strategies. Understanding these complexities can help policymakers and practitioners develop more robust approaches that maximize benefits while minimizing negative consequences.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-social-economic-and-political-trade-offs-of-climate-change-adaptation-in-uganda-towards-building-resilient-communities/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T115028Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T115028Z
UID:10000160-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:How do savings groups influence resilience? Evidence from Nigeria
DESCRIPTION:Women’s savings group programs are increasingly seen as an important strategy for advancing women’s economic empowerment and may have the potential to increase the resiliency of members and their communities to covariate shocks\, such as climate change. While various studies have examined how savings groups have mitigated the effects of shocks\, empirical evidence on resilience remains thin\, however. This study examines how women’s savings groups in Nigeria could influence resilience by leveraging a quasi-experimental study of a government-implemented savings group program in Nigeria. The study combines longitudinal data of over 6\,000 surveys with women and their husbands with surveys of over 1\,200 women’s savings groups in six states in Nigeria. We combine these longitudinal data with a survey examining perceptions of climate change among the same households and panel data of an adaptation of a resilience index developed by the Food and Agriculture Organization (Resilience Index Measurement and Analysis). We first examine whether the resilience index predicts coping behavior followed by a difference-in-difference analysis to assess the impact of women’s savings groups on resilience. Next\, we assess the pathways of change by linking the impacts on resilience to impacts on women’s decision-making power\, asset ownership\, and income and household-level consumption\, and agricultural productivity. We also assess how climate change perceptions and exposure to droughts and floods moderated the impact of women’s savings groups on resilience. We will have results at the time of the conference.\nThe presentation will include the findings as well as a presentation by the World Bank about their evidence needs related to climate change and resilience. The World Bank will discuss how they plan to use the findings in the contexts of savings group programming in close consultation with the government of Nigeria.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/how-do-savings-groups-influence-resilience-evidence-from-nigeria/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T114912Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240524T144358Z
UID:10000159-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Anticipatory cash transfers in the context of weather disasters: Evidence from a randomized controlled trial
DESCRIPTION:Anticipatory humanitarian assistance is a novel approach to aid in the context of weather disasters\, drawing on meteorological forecasts to predict risk. Using a randomized study design\, we analyze the impact of anticipatory cash transfers distributed to pastoralist households in Mongolia during an extreme winter event. We do not find overall effects on livestock assets\, income\, investments\, or consumption across the study population. No heterogenous effects are found for different levels of disaster intensity. However\, there is robust evidence that cash transfers benefited households with lower pre-treatment wealth. The paper concludes by highlighting practical challenges in evaluating (anticipatory) humanitarian interventions.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/anticipatory-cash-transfers-in-the-context-of-weather-disasters-evidence-from-a-randomized-controlled-trial/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T114800Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T114800Z
UID:10000158-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:The Complications and Consequences of a Managed Retreat Law
DESCRIPTION:Managed retreat\, the relocation of households out of harm’s way\, was tried in New Zealand on an unusually large scale after the 2011 Christchurch earthquake\, shifting almost 20\,000 people in a well-compensated program of managed retreat. This presentation will focus on the empirical evidence about the economic and mental-health effects of this managed retreat on the relocated population. It will then explore the implications of these effects for the design of a Managed Retreat Law in New Zealand in the context of increasing risk because of climate change.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/the-complications-and-consequences-of-a-managed-retreat-law/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T105901Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T105901Z
UID:10000126-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Geospatial Impact Evaluation of Agricultural Intensification Program in Niger
DESCRIPTION:Climate change is exacerbating food insecurity around the world\, particularly in drought-prone areas that are already highly vulnerable\, such as the Sahel region of West Africa. To improve food security and resilience\, the government of Niger\, with funding from the West African Development Bank (BOAD)\, implemented a multi-faceted agricultural production intensification program in 2011 (PIPA/SA). We employ geospatial data (spectral indices from Landsat-7 imagery) and a synthetic difference-in-differences (SDID) design to measure the impact of this program (irrigation and land rehabilitation efforts) on agricultural production\, water availability\, siltation\, and desertification (using proxies for “level of greenness” such as NDVI\, SAVI\, etc.). Determining the impact of this program will inform the Government of Niger’s future policy and programming related to climate change mitigation/adaptation and food intensification\, with implications for human health\, nutrition\, livelihoods\, and economic development more broadly. \nThis project contributes to the evidence base on climate and nutrition interventions\, and provides more evidence on the benefits and application of geospatial/remote sensing data in climate-related impact evaluation.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/geospatial-impact-evaluation-of-agricultural-intensification-program-in-niger/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T105757Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T105757Z
UID:10000125-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Urban form features determine spatio-temporal variation of ambient temperature: Assessing the transferability of land Use classes effect across diverse Urban Contexts
DESCRIPTION:Driven by ongoing urbanization and accelerated global warming\, urban heat stress develops into a major threat for a large part of the world population. While the literature is clear about the relevance of urban form in modifying urban heat\, the spatially explicit context of heat modifications by the built environment is insufficiently explored across cities. Here we develop a consistent methodology based on a machine learning model to determine the predictive features of urban form that shape urban ambient temperature (AT) under different urban and climate conditions. For this\, we combine urban climate data at 100 m resolution from the UrbClim model with urban form features computed from different open datasets. We exemplify our innovation by evaluating summer daytime and nighttime temperature variation within three European cities that are representative of distinct geographies and climates: Berlin\, Zürich\, and Sevilla. Mean AT at dense urban spots was higher by 3 ◦C (on average) during summer\ncompared to sub-urban sites across all cities. We find that urban form features explain around 2/3 of within-city temperature variations. Vegetation cover and water bodies are most significant in explaining spatial temperature patterns during the daytime\, while the impervious land cover is most critical at nighttime. Cooling effect of water areas can accumulate to – 1.5 ◦C\, while heating effects of roads can induce +0.5 ◦C during daytime. The magnitude of effects varies across cities\, primarily based on the climate type\, altitude\, and dominant land-cover. However\, further testing should be conducted to develop a better understanding of impact variations. The findings of this research will provide urban planners and policymakers with crucial insights towards heat mitigation and sustainable urban developments through region-tailored modifications and replacement of land-cover.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/urban-form-features-determine-spatio-temporal-variation-of-ambient-temperature-assessing-the-transferability-of-land-use-classes-effect-across-diverse-urban-contexts/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T105505Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T105505Z
UID:10000123-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Current challenges in agricultural intensification and land use change in Latin America: land sparing\, land sharing\, rebound effect\, and leakage.
DESCRIPTION:Humanity faces a double threat: burgeoning food demand from a growing population and ecological degradation fueled by agricultural expansion. Crop production can be increased through cropland expansion (more land)\, and crop intensification (producing more per unit of cropland). Embracing sustainable intensification on existing agricultural land rather than the unsustainable quest for ever-greater acreage has been proposed. This approach is known as land-sparing. Nevertheless\, there is a risk that land sparing can lead to a rebound effect where increased yields lead to increased demand for agricultural products\, which in turn drives further expansion of cropland. In addition to these challenges\, there is also the risk of leakage\, where land use change in an area is caused by land use change in another area. This can happen when global markets allow for the transfer of agricultural products from one region to another. With 23% of the world’s arable land\, 46% of tropical forests\, and 31% of freshwater\, Latin America possesses unparalleled potential for revolutionizing food production. By embracing sustainable intensification and conserving natural ecosystems\, the region can nourish a growing population without further deforestation\, protect vital ecosystems\, safeguard biodiversity mitigating climate change\, and become a global leader in sustainable food production. While studies have explored land sparing\, land sharing\, rebound effects\, and leakage in Latin America\, significant regional gaps remain. Existing research often lacks integration into the causes and consequences of these phenomena in diverse local contexts and potential pathways for the effective implementation of sustainable solutions. This study employs an evidence synthesis approach (https://asreview.nl/) to comprehensively analyze the existing literature. Our goal is to identify the main drivers and consequences of crop expansion and intensification across Latin America exploring potential pathways for policy implementation that fosters sustainable food production while protecting the environment.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/current-challenges-in-agricultural-intensification-and-land-use-change-in-latin-america-land-sparing-land-sharing-rebound-effect-and-leakage/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T105336Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T105336Z
UID:10000122-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Assessing the Viability and Synergies of Nature-Based Solutions in Southern Africa: A Climate-Resilience Perspective
DESCRIPTION:Nature-based solutions involve working with nature to enhance both human well-being and ecosystem resilience\, with a primary objective of bolstering climate resilience and mitigation efforts. Despite the proliferation of initiatives aimed at funding and advocating for nature-based solutions\, there has been growing scholarly scrutiny globally regarding the socio-ecological suitability of certain approaches. This scrutiny is particularly pertinent in Africa\, where the livelihoods of many communities are intricately linked to their surrounding landscapes and the array of ecosystem services they provide. Moreover\, the ramifications of climate change on these essential ecosystem services remain incompletely understood. \nOur research endeavours to assess the effectiveness of select nature-based solutions within the context of southern Africa under projected future climate scenarios. Specifically\, we employed species distribution modelling to evaluate the potential distribution patterns of approximately 4500 plant species across three distinct nature-based solutions: afforestation\, agroforestry\, and restoration\, considering three varying degrees of warming above pre-industrial levels (+1.5°C\, +2°C\, and +4°C). \nDuring our presentation\, we delve into an analysis of the spatial and temporal viability of each nature-based solution throughout the subcontinent\, shedding light on the potential for either conflict or synergy among these solutions\, biodiversity conservation efforts\, and human well-being. Our findings serve as a novel exploration of the opportunities\, challenges\, and inherent limitations associated with implementing nature-based solutions in southern Africa.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/assessing-the-viability-and-synergies-of-nature-based-solutions-in-southern-africa-a-climate-resilience-perspective/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T101954Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T101954Z
UID:10000115-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Maximizing climate and health co-benefits of climate action in low- and middle-income countries: Regional evidence mapping\, priority research and policy agendas\, and stakeholder mobilization
DESCRIPTION:There are likely mutually reinforcing co-benefits from public action that seeks to integrate climate mitigation and adaption interventions with efforts to strengthen health systems. Given the breadth and overlap of climate-related risk factors\, and the complexities in measuring\, mitigating\, and adapting to the climate crisis\, the health sector response needs to be based on evidence that is generated from interdisciplinary research findings. It also needs to go hand in hand with national\, regional\, and global climate responses and include civil society organizations\, private sector actors\, and government leaders. \nDespite these urgent needs\, the current state of the climate and health research field remains critically underdeveloped. Contributing communities are not sufficiently supported to implement meaningful coordinated approaches\, foster North-South/South-North collaborations and truly reach the most impacted populations\, including equity seeking groups. As a response\, Canada’s International Development Research Centre (IDRC) is supporting research teams across the globe to map available regional evidence and gaps and to help craft pathways towards healthy\, equitable\, and sustainable health systems and societies. \nThe proposed session will bring together civil society and research experts from Africa\, Asia\, and the Americas to share insights into the conducive factors that could lead to climate and health co-benefits in their regions. They will also share their views on priority research and policy agendas and pathways for change at the national\, regional\, and global levels. These include\, for example\, the need for stronger responsive data and information systems\, resilient health workforce and community responses\, climate-resilient infrastructures\, and evidence informed social and economic policies that promote health.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/maximizing-climate-and-health-co-benefits-of-climate-action-in-low-and-middle-income-countries-regional-evidence-mapping-priority-research-and-policy-agendas-and-stakeholder-mobilization/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T101841Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T101841Z
UID:10000114-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Evidence-Based Priority Setting for Climate Change and Pandemic Preparedness in Sub-Saharan Africa: Findings from a Scoping Review and Stakeholder Consultation
DESCRIPTION:Climate change exacerbates the risks associated with climate-sensitive infectious diseases (CSIDs) that have pandemic potential\, posing additional threats to already vulnerable populations. Currently\, there are critical evidence gaps and inadequate institutional and governance arrangements further impact on Africa’s ability to prepare for CSIDs. Our objective is to explore the role of economic evaluation and data-systems to support CSID knowledge generation and priority-setting in Sub-Saharan Africa.\nWe have extended an existing pandemic preparedness framework to incorporate economic and data-systems themes across four stages: prevention\, detection\, response\, and evaluation. A rapid scoping review to identify existing knowledge and relevant gaps in economic evaluation and data-systems will be supplemented by a parallel stakeholder consultation on CSID emergence and pandemic risk. We adopted a list of 14 target CSIDs with pandemic potential informed by pathogens declared as Public Health Emergencies of International Concern and listed on the WHO’s R&D Blueprint Pathogens to identify relevant studies. Results will be synthesized using bibliometric analysis\, thematic topic categorization\, and narrative synthesis. A stakeholder mapping exercise identified 50 regional stakeholders from the government\, research institutions\, donors\, and civil service organisations that will be invited to respond to an online questionnaire and attend a semi-structured interview to consolidate key knowledge gaps. Following this\, a regional in-person expert consultation will help to prioritise key themes. Throughout\, a gender intersectionality approach will help to identify entry points for addressing CSIDs.\nAt present\, a total of 7\,328 articles have been identified from five databases and primary screening methods yielded 2\,232 abstracts on target CSIDs\, these will undergo final screening and data extraction to identify evidence gaps mapped to the conceptual framework. Findings will be used to inform evidence-based policies\, guide funding allocations\, and shape interventions to enhance health outcomes for vulnerable populations facing the dual challenges of climate change and infectious diseases.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/evidence-based-priority-setting-for-climate-change-and-pandemic-preparedness-in-sub-saharan-africa-findings-from-a-scoping-review-and-stakeholder-consultation/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T101733Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T101733Z
UID:10000113-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Climate change and health in Latin America and the Caribbean: What the evidence can tell us
DESCRIPTION:Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC) are among the regions most affected by climate change. However\, little evidence exists on its potential effects on individuals´ health. To fill this gap\, this research aims to define the region’s most critical developments in the study of economic costs of climate-sensitive infectious diseases and advances in the design\, implementation\, and evaluation of information systems. We conducted two scoping reviews. The first aimed to assess the existing evidence on the economic impacts of climate-sensitive diseases and the cost and benefits of strategies to mitigate them. The second focused on exploring the design\, implementation\, and evaluation of information systems on health and climate. In addition\, we conducted more than 20 semi-structured interviews with experts in climate change\, information systems\, economic analysis\, and infectious diseases in LAC. The results revealed a lack of evidence in the study of the economic impacts of strategies related to climate-sensitive infectious diseases in the region; only one article about this topic was identified. Additionally\, ten articles were obtained\, analysing the economic costs of climate-sensitive infectious diseases while considering the impacts of climate. Studies do not include climate information or analyse how climate change can increase the prevalence of infectious diseases in the region. Although more than 300 articles were identified on topics related to modelling\, monitoring or analysis of climate-sensitive infectious diseases\, there is limited evidence on how to design and implement information systems using health and climate variables The expert consultation revealed the need to enhance communication across fields to facilitate collaborative work and address pertinent research questions regarding the relationship between climate and health. There is a need to improve information systems\, to enable the interaction of data from different sources and guarantee its quality\, as well as to align governments and researcher´s priorities on climate and health.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-change-and-health-in-latin-america-and-the-caribbean-what-the-evidence-can-tell-us/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T101626Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T101626Z
UID:10000112-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Climate Change Impacts on Waterborne Diseases: A Systematic Review of Mechanisms and Predictive Models
DESCRIPTION:Global climate change significantly alters environmental and health dynamics\, posing a major 21st-century public health threat. Waterborne diseases (diarrhea\, cholera\, skin infections\, dysentery) influenced by both water and food are particularly sensitive to these changes. While numerous studies have investigated these impacts\, a critical assessment of their methodologies is lacking. This systematic review synthesizes the impact of climate change on waterborne diseases\, focusing on analytical methods and predictive models used to explain disease presence or abundance. We further evaluate the strengths and limitations of each approach\, identifying key gaps for future research. We analyzed 88 indexed research articles published between 1996 and 2024. Our findings demonstrate that diverse climate-related extreme events\, including precipitation\, flooding\, and drought\, substantially impact waterborne disease incidence. Additionally\, temperature\, salinity\, humidity\, sunshine duration\, wind patterns\, and specific water quality parameters play significant roles\, with regional variations observed. Sensitivity analysis methods (e.g.\, Pearson/Spearman correlations) and mathematical models (e.g.\, generalized additive\, mixed\, and regression models) are employed to assess sensitivities\, quantify correlations\, examine impacts\, and predict risks. Based on these findings\, we urge future research to prioritize elucidating mechanisms and developing models that leverage climate data to accurately and quantitatively predict disease presence or abundance. This enhanced predictive capacity will underpin tailored adaptation strategies for sustainable development. \nKeywords: Climate change; water-borne disease; modeling; Impacts ; forecast
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/climate-change-impacts-on-waterborne-diseases-a-systematic-review-of-mechanisms-and-predictive-models/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T101505Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T101505Z
UID:10000111-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Quantifying Climate Change Impacts on Waterborne Pathogen Diversity and Abundance in Africa: A Systematic Review
DESCRIPTION:Africa\, despite contributing minimally to global greenhouse gas emissions\, disproportionately bears the brunt of climate change’s consequences. This systematic review quantifies the impact of shifting climatic conditions on waterborne pathogen diversity and abundance in this ecologically diverse continent. We analyze 88 indexed research articles published between 1996 and 2024 using PRISMA guidelines.\nKey Findings:\nIncreased diversity: A 1°C temperature rise significantly increased waterborne pathogen richness by 18.2% (95% CI: 12.7-23.8%). This aligns with observed correlations between rising temperatures and expanded geographic ranges of Vibrio cholerae\, Cryptosporidium\, and Shigella species.\nAltered abundance: Extreme precipitation events like floods (OR: 4.2\, 95% CI: 2.8-6.1) and droughts (OR: 2.7\, 95% CI: 1.8-4.0) were associated with significantly higher prevalence of diarrhoeal diseases caused by pathogens like rotavirus and Giardia lamblia.\nRegional variations: Rainfall patterns played a nuanced role\, with increased variability (CV) significantly associated with higher richness of bacteria (β = 0.15\, p < 0.001) in arid regions but negatively affecting protozoan diversity (β = -0.08\, p < 0.05) in tropical zones.\nSocioeconomic factors: Low income levels (β = -0.22\, p < 0.01) and inadequate sanitation infrastructure (β = -0.31\, p < 0.001) were strongly associated with decreased waterborne pathogen diversity\, highlighting the need for integrated interventions.\nFuture Directions:\nOur findings underscore the urgency of developing predictive models incorporating climate and socioeconomic data to forecast pathogen dynamics and guide targeted public health interventions. Additionally\, research efforts should prioritize elucidating the specific mechanisms that underly climate-driven changes in pathogen diversity and abundance. This enhanced understanding will inform tailored adaptation strategies for sustainable development and resilient water management in Africa.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/quantifying-climate-change-impacts-on-waterborne-pathogen-diversity-and-abundance-in-africa-a-systematic-review/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T101346Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T101346Z
UID:10000110-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Social Representations and Health Implications of Climate Change in Ganvié\, Benin
DESCRIPTION:Climate change poses a complex challenge\, impacting both the physical environment and human well-being. This study investigates how communities in Ganvié\, Benin\, construct and perceive climate change\, and how these perceptions might influence their health. Employing a qualitative approach\, the research involved:\n• Data collection:\no Twenty-five diverse households\, strategically chosen for socio-economic and gender representation\, participated in individual interviews.\no Five key informants from government and climate risk management organizations provided expert insights.\no Two focus group discussions were conducted with local male and female associations.\no Direct observation complemented data collection during household visits and community events.\n• Data analysis: Content analysis methods were employed to analyze data\, extracting key themes and patterns in representations and risk perceptions.\nFindings:\n• Limited awareness: Residents often held limited understanding of climate change’s specific health risks\, with some trivializing its potential impact.\n• Attribution mismatch : The primary causes of climate change were predominantly attributed to transgressions of social norms\, overshadowing the role of anthropogenic activities.\n• Subsistence-driven adaptation: Local coping strategies focused on immediate needs and securing livelihoods\, primarily addressing food security and water access\, and lacked a direct focus on mitigating health risks.\nImplications :\n• This disconnect between local perceptions and the actual health risks associated with climate change highlights the need for targeted awareness campaigns to educate communities about the potential health consequences.\n• Integrating health considerations into local adaptation strategies is crucial to ensure comprehensive resilience and protect the health and well-being of Ganvié’s residents.\n• The study’s findings contribute to a broader understanding of how social representations of climate change shape risk perceptions and influence local adaptation responses\, informing more effective public health interventions in vulnerable communities.\nKeywords: Climate change\, social representations\, health risks\, adaptation\, perception\, Ganvié\, Benin.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/social-representations-and-health-implications-of-climate-change-in-ganvie-benin/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T073817Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T073817Z
UID:10000023-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Measuring transition progress through systemic indicators: tracking carbon emissions overestimates actual energy transition progress
DESCRIPTION:
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/measuring-transition-progress-through-systemic-indicators-tracking-carbon-emissions-overestimates-actual-energy-transition-progress/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T073640Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T073640Z
UID:10000022-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Phasing out coal: technology\, policy and justice
DESCRIPTION:Rapid phase-out of coal power is essential for achieving climate targets. Here\, we synthesize historical evidence on coal decline and phase-out to develop realistic scenarios and inform future policies. \nWe identify 43 countries that have pledged to stop using coal by a specified date. We show that such pledges were initially made by wealthy countries that produce and use little coal\, and only after their coal use had already peaked and begun to decline. Over time\, these pledges expanded to countries with lower incomes and larger reliance on coal. Still\, the planned coal phase-out is not faster than what has been observed historically and is not sufficient to deliver on Paris climate targets. Additionally\, the largest coal users including India and China are yet to pledge a definite coal phase-out. We show that in a scenario where these economies phase out coal as fast as planned in Germany\, emissions from burning coal would be compatible with 2°C-2.5°C warming. \nSuch ambitious coal phase-out would require just transition policies compensating negatively affected workers\, communities\, and companies. To estimate the likely cost of such compensation\, we build the first database of coal phase-out compensation policies worldwide. We show that all countries with notable coal phase-out pledges plan just transition compensations\, globally amounting to over $200 bln. The size of compensation is roughly proportional to the emissions avoided as a result of enforcing coal phase-out and is comparable to recent carbon prices under the EU’s Emissions Trading Scheme. We show that if China and India pursue coal phase-out in line with Paris climate targets and implement compensation similar to that observed in other countries\, the required financial resources would be as large as already pledged climate finance to all developing countries. \nWe conclude with policy recommendations on accelerating coal phase-out and just transition policies.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/phasing-out-coal-technology-policy-and-justice/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T073520Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T073520Z
UID:10000021-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Feasible deployment of carbon capture and storage and the requirements of climate targets
DESCRIPTION:Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) plays a key role in many climate mitigation scenarios and strategies\, yet the feasibility of its rapid upscaling has been vigorously debated. Recently\, there has been growing interest in CCS and if current plans are realised\, global CCS capacity would grow eight-fold from by 2030. However\, the bulk of today’s plans are at early stages of development. Can the current push bring CCS “on track” for the Paris climate targets? \nHere we address this question by developing a suite of methods for projecting feasible growth of CCS and other policy-driven emerging technologies. In a methodological innovation\, we project feasible growth using different feasibility spaces for the different phases of the technology life-cycle: the formative\, the acceleration\, and the stable growth phase. For each phase\, we construct a feasibility space using evidence from past experience of CCS and its historical analogies. \nWe show that under the most optimistic yet realistic assumptions about the near-term growth of CCS plans and their failure rates\, CCS capacity would be 0.37 GtCO2/year by 2030\, which is considerably less than most of the 1.5°C-compatible IPCC scenarios. After 2030\, CCS could stay on-track for 2°C if it accelerates at least as fast as wind power in the 2000s and then continues growing faster than nuclear power in the 1970s-80s. Only a handful of the existing climate mitigation pathways meet the CCS feasibility constraints and all of them depict <200 GtCO2 captured and stored by 2070\, which stands in contrast to the higher end of the amounts envisioned in the current IPCC climate scenarios. \nOur findings can be used for setting more realistic targets for CCS as well as informing projections and policies on other emerging climate and energy technologies at early stages of development.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/feasible-deployment-of-carbon-capture-and-storage-and-the-requirements-of-climate-targets/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T073334Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T073334Z
UID:10000020-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Aligning decarbonisation with energy security: the case of REPowerEU
DESCRIPTION:As a policy objective\, mitigating climate change needs to be reconciled with ensuring energy security. While decarbonisation is often beneficial to energy security\, the opposite is not true: certain energy security strategies may result in increasing rather than decreasing emissions. In this paper we explore the empirical evidence on the effect of this alignment on accelerating the progress towards climate targets. \nWe focus on the REPowerEU plan proposed in 2022 by the European Commission to reduce the European Union’s (EU) dependence on fossil fuel imports from Russia. We show that REPowerEU aimed to achieve energy security objectives without compromising the EU’s climate goals and that it set unprecedented renewables targets radically departing from past incremental policies. We demonstrate that replicating such targets beyond the EU would be in line with 2°C-compatible pathways. \nWe show that this remarkable alignment of climate and energy security policies has resulted from high-level commitment to climate neutrality established prior to the security shock of 2022. We also stress the key role of growing institutional capacities and emerging technological opportunities\, arguing that the energy security crisis did not create these capacities and opportunities\, but rather enabled their translation into specific policies. \nFinally\, we assess the challenges for achieving the REPowerEU targets by comparing them with forecasts\, historical trends\, and historical analogies. We argue that though the REPowerEU targets are unprecedented in the history of renewables they are not infeasible in light of the growth of nuclear power in the 1970s-80s\, which was triggered by another energy security crisis. At the same time\, achieving REPowerEU targets would require vastly different political strategies than those used 40-50 years ago given the nature of socio-technical and political barriers currently faced by renewables.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/aligning-decarbonisation-with-energy-security-the-case-of-repowereu/
END:VEVENT
BEGIN:VEVENT
DTSTART;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T120000
DTEND;TZID=Europe/Berlin:20240612T133000
DTSTAMP:20260908T071724
CREATED:20240508T072957Z
LAST-MODIFIED:20240508T072957Z
UID:10000019-1718193600-1718199000@test.whatworksclimate.solutions
SUMMARY:Projecting mid-term growth of wind and solar power growth under empirically-grounded policy assumptions
DESCRIPTION:There is no consensus on the policy effort required to accelerate the growth of wind and solar power for the climate goals. Some point out that the declining costs assure future expansion even without strong policies. Others document increasing opposition and non-cost barriers and argue that policy interventions should intensify\, not abate\, over time. \nHere\, we propose empirically-grounded methods and synthesise evidence to understand the balance of declining costs and increasing opposition in order to assess the policy effort needed for accelerating solar and wind power growth. In contrast to dominant approaches\, we use national- rather than global-level evidence and account for both cost and non-cost factors. \nWe show that the growth of renewables in many front-running countries is fast but no longer accelerating and that it does not become faster in late-comers. This indicates persistent barriers which dampen the positive effect of technological learning. We develop a model for projecting global growth of technologies based on evidence from front-running countries. Our results show that under optimistic yet realistic assumptions and without a radical policy or market change solar and wind power could grow in line with 2°C-compatible scenarios\, but 1.5°C-trajectories as well as the global renewables pledge would likely remain out of reach. \nWe also show that a scenario where the recent EU renewable targets are replicated worldwide is in line with the 1.5°C goal. The global growth of renewables in this case would be as fast as the policy-driven growth of nuclear power in Western Europe in the 1970s-1980s. Thus it is feasible to expand renewables fast enough for ambitious climate goals\, but it requires massive policy effort and new strategies to address the very real barriers. \nOur empirically grounded technology projections can be used to assess and inform policies accelerating the uptake of mature climate mitigation technologies.
URL:https://test.whatworksclimate.solutions/presentation/projecting-mid-term-growth-of-wind-and-solar-power-growth-under-empirically-grounded-policy-assumptions/
END:VEVENT
END:VCALENDAR